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Impact of Drought on Agriculture in the Agreste Central, Alto Sertão and Centro-Sul territories of Sergipe

Abstract

Drought risk management is based on three main pillars, such as monitoring, impact assessment and the preparation of action plans. The Brazil Drought Monitor represents the beginning of risk management in the country, however it is still necessary to advance in the other stages of this management model. Agriculture is considered more sensitive to climate variations, studies of drought impacts in this sector seek to identify vulnerabilities and improve adaptive capacity. In this context, this research identified impacts of droughts in the agricultural sector in three territories of the state of Sergipe. The linear correlation coefficient indicated that grain yield and average yield of the crop have a direct correlation with precipitation. Regarding the crop guarantee and livestock data, the correlation was not considered acceptable. It was found that the categories of extreme and exceptional drought were responsible for large losses of the grain crop. Despite being to a lesser extent, the severe drought category has also generated some damage to this sector. The categories of weak and moderate drought did not result in losses in the annual grain production of the territories, however they generated losses for small producers.

Keywords
risk management; drought monitor; agricultural production

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