El número de beneficiarios de subsidios por incapacidad laboral ha disminuido drásticamente desde 2016. Este artículo muestra que el Programa para la Evaluación de Subsidios por Incapacidad Laboral (PRBI) es clave para entender esta dinámica y es responsable de una economía de más de R$ 85 mil millones para el Régimen General de Previsión Social de Brasil.
Palabras clave:
seguridad social; subsidios por incapacidad laboral; evaluación de programas
| IA benefits | |
|---|---|
| PRBI benefits (database obtained from MDS) | 476,163 |
| Evaluated | 436,642 |
| Terminated | 326,786 |
| Not terminated | 109,856 |
| Dependent Variable: | μ(i) |
|---|---|
| Constant | 0.347*** (0.0050) |
| Trend | 0.003*** (0.0000) |
| Observations | 171 |
| R-squared | 0.974 |
| Parameter | Value | Reference |
|---|---|---|
| V(k) | R$ 1,303.83/month | Average IA benefit (2016) |
| C | 8,654 benefits/month | Monthly average of judicial grants (2016 and 2017) |
| r | 5.8% o.y. | Public debt interest rates (NTN-B 2050) in September 2018. |
| α | R$ 71.8 million | Overall medical evaluation costs, according to MDS (Ministério do Desenvolvimento Social, 2018Ministério do Desenvolvimento Social. (2018). PRBI, o maior programa de revisão de benefícios por incapacidade da história do INSS (Caderno de Estudos, 33). Brasília, DF: Author.) |
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Source: Elaborated by the authors based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin) and Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC - IBGE).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin) and Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC - IBGE).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin) and the Brazilian Business Cycle Dating Committee (FGV CODACE).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin).
Source: Elaborated by the authors based on data from MDS.
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from MDS.
Source: Elaborated by the authors.
Source: Elaborated by the authors.
Source: Elaborated by the authors.