Since 2016, the number of recipients of incapacity allowance in Brazil has been continuously falling. This article presents the program of incapacity benefits assessment (PRBI) to help understand the dynamics around incapacity allowance and similar benefits. The study shows that the PRBI can save more than R$ 85 billion of the budget allocated to social security in the country.
Keywords:
social security; incapacity benefits; program assessment
| IA benefits | |
|---|---|
| PRBI benefits (database obtained from MDS) | 476,163 |
| Evaluated | 436,642 |
| Terminated | 326,786 |
| Not terminated | 109,856 |
| Dependent Variable: | μ(i) |
|---|---|
| Constant | 0.347*** (0.0050) |
| Trend | 0.003*** (0.0000) |
| Observations | 171 |
| R-squared | 0.974 |
| Parameter | Value | Reference |
|---|---|---|
| V(k) | R$ 1,303.83/month | Average IA benefit (2016) |
| C | 8,654 benefits/month | Monthly average of judicial grants (2016 and 2017) |
| r | 5.8% o.y. | Public debt interest rates (NTN-B 2050) in September 2018. |
| α | R$ 71.8 million | Overall medical evaluation costs, according to MDS (Ministério do Desenvolvimento Social, 2018Ministério do Desenvolvimento Social. (2018). PRBI, o maior programa de revisão de benefícios por incapacidade da história do INSS (Caderno de Estudos, 33). Brasília, DF: Author.) |
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Thumbnail
Source: Elaborated by the authors based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin) and Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC - IBGE).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin) and Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC - IBGE).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin) and the Brazilian Business Cycle Dating Committee (FGV CODACE).
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from Boletim Estatístico da Previdência Social - BEPS (Social Security Statistical Bulletin).
Source: Elaborated by the authors based on data from MDS.
Source: Elaborated by the authors, based on data from MDS.
Source: Elaborated by the authors.
Source: Elaborated by the authors.
Source: Elaborated by the authors.