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TIME TREND AND SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF DENGUE IN BRAZIL

ABSTRACT

Objective:

to determine the time trend and spatial distribution of the confirmed dengue cases in Brazil between 2009 and 2019.

Method:

this is an ecological and longitudinal study of a historical series of the dengue cases available in the Information System of Notifiable Health Problems. The data were analyzed by means of time trend and spatial distributions.

Results:

the study denoted a stationary trend of the incidence coefficient (R=0.091; p>0.05). The Midwest region stood out among the Brazilian regions, with 42.04% incidence. In relation to the Brazilian states, Acre was the one with the highest incidence: 45.06%. Finally, regarding the severe form of dengue, the Southeast region stood out with 38.35% of the cases.

Conclusion:

based on the epidemiological analyses, it was concluded that, in Brazil, dengue is still a relevant public health problem, given the high number of cases.

DESCRIPTORS:
Spatial Distribution; Epidemiology; Public Health.

RESUMO

Objetivo:

determinar a tendência e a distribuição espacial dos casos confirmados de dengue no Brasil, no período de 2009 a 2019.

Método:

trata-se de um estudo ecológico, longitudinal, de série histórica, dos casos de dengue disponíveis no Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação. Os dados foram analisados por meio da tendência e da distribuição espacial.

Resultados:

o estudo denotou tendência estacionária do coeficiente de incidência (R= 0,091; p > 0,05). Dentre as regiões brasileiras, a região Centro-Oeste foi a que se destacou, apresentando 42,04% de incidência dos casos. Em relação aos Estados brasileiros o Acre foi o que obteve maior incidência, revelando 45,06%. E sobre a forma grave da dengue, destacou-se a região Sudeste com 38,35% dos casos.

Conclusão:

a partir das análises epidemiológicas, conclui-se que a dengue, no Brasil, continua como relevante problema de saúde pública, tendo em vista seu elevado número de casos.

DESCRITORES:
Distribuição Espacial; Epidemiologia; Saúde Pública.

RESUMEN

Objetivo:

determinar la tendencia temporal y la distribución espacial de los casos confirmados de dengue en Brasil entre 2009 y 2019.

Método:

estudio ecológico y longitudinal de serie histórica de los casos de dengue disponibles en el Sistema Información de Enfermedades Notificables. Los datos se analizaron por medio de tendencia temporal y distribución espacial.

Resultados:

el estudio denotó una tendencia estacionaria del coeficiente de incidencia (R=0,091; p>0,05). La región Centro-Oeste de Brasil se destacó con el 42,04% de incidencia de casos. En relación con los estados del país, Acre fue el que obtuvo mayor incidencia: 45,06%. Finalmente, en cuanto a la forma grave de dengue, la región Sudeste se destacó con el 38,35% de los casos.

Conclusión:

a partir de los análisis epidemiológicos se concluyó que, en Brasil, el dengue sigue siendo un problema de salud pública relevante, considerando la elevada cantidad de casos.

DESCRIPTORES:
Distribución Espacial; Epidemiología; Salud Pública.

INTRODUCTION

Dengue consists of an acute febrile infectious disease caused by a virus from the Flavividae family that has four serotypes in Brazil, namely DENV-1, DENV-2, DENV-3, and DENV-4, and is disseminated by mosquitoes from the Aedes genus, with the main vector being Aedes aegypti. Transmission takes place through bites by female A. aegypti mosquitoes11 Meira MCR, Nihei OK, Moschini LE, Arcoverde MAM, Britto A da S, Silva Sobrinho RA da, et al. Influência do clima na ocorrência de dengue em um município brasileiro de tríplice fronteira. Cogitare Enferm. [Internet]. 2021 [acesso em 17 nov 2021]; 26. Disponível em: https://dx.doi.org/10.5380/ce.v26i0.76974.
https://dx.doi.org/10.5380/ce.v26i0.7697...
. Dengue represents one of the main public health problems worldwide, especially in tropical and subtropical countries, whose socioenvironmental characteristics contribute to development and proliferation of the vector22 Oliveira RMAB, Araújo FMC, Cavalcanti LPG. Aspectos entomológicos e epidemiológicos das epidemias de dengue em Fortaleza, Ceará, 2001-2012. Epidemiol Serv. Saúde. [Internet]. 2018 [acesso em 17 dez 2020]; 27(1): 1-10. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.5123/s1679-49742018000100014.
http://dx.doi.org/10.5123/s1679-49742018...
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According to data published by the World Health Organization (WHO), in the last decades there has been an increase in the number of dengue cases worldwide, rising from 505,430 in 2000 to 2.4 million in 2010, a number that was further increased to 4.2 million cases in 201933 World Health Organization. (WHO). Dengue and severe dengue. [Internet]. 2020 [acesso em 17 dez 2020]. Disponível em: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/dengue-and-severe-dengue.
https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheet...
. According to the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO), in 2020, the American continent reached the highest number of already cataloged cases, corresponding to more than 1.6 million. In turn, Brazil was the country that most stood out, with a total of 2,070,170 notified cases44 Organização Pan-Americana da Saúde (OPAS). Dengue nas Américas atinge o maior número de casos já registrados. OPAS. [Internet]. 2020 [acesso em 17 dez 2020]. Disponível em: https://www.paho.org/pt/noticias/23-6-2020-casos-dengue-nas-americas-chegam-16-milhao-que-destaca-necessidade-do-controle.
https://www.paho.org/pt/noticias/23-6-20...
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In the Brazilian setting, 987,173 cases of the disease were recorded in 2020, with an incidence of 469.8 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants. The Midwest region was the one with the highest incidence with 1,212,1 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants, followed by the South, Southeast, Northeast and North regions with 940.0, 379.4, 263.8 and 119.5 cases, respectively55 Ministério da Saúde (BR). Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde. Boletim Epidemiológico. Monitoramento dos casos de arboviroses urbanas causados por vírus transmitidos por Aedes (dengue, chikungunya e zika), semanas epidemiológicas 1 a 53, 2020. [Internet]. 2021 [acesso em 18 dez 2020]; 52(3). Disponível em: https://www.gov.br/saude/pt-br/centrais-de-conteudo/publicacoes/boletins/epidemiologicos/edicoes/2021/boletim_epidemiologico_svs_3.pdf/view.
https://www.gov.br/saude/pt-br/centrais-...
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Dengue also represents a serious public health problem due to the severity of its infection, with the possibility of evolution to death. Consequently, conducting this study is significantly relevant, as research studies using time trend and spatial distribution allow monitoring the scope of the disease. Although the Ministry of Health has periodically published Epidemiological Bulletins, it is noted that organizing data into a time series makes it possible to analyze occurrence of the phenomenon, evidencing the evolution of the risks to which people are or were exposed and supporting causal explanations, which contributes to planning public policies targeted at prevention measures by assessing the impact of the interventions performed66 Camara TNL. Emerging arboviruses and public health challenges in Brazil. Rev. Saúde Públ. [Internet]. 2016 [acesso em 18 dez 2020]; 50: 1-7. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1590/S1518-8787.2016050006791.
https://doi.org/10.1590/S1518-8787.20160...
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Given this context, the objective of this study is to determine the time trend and spatial distribution of the confirmed dengue cases in Brazil from 2009 to 2019.

METHOD

This is an ecological and longitudinal study of a historical series of the confirmed dengue cases in Brazil between 2009 and 2019. Brazil presents an estimate of 210,147,125 inhabitants, is constituted by 26 states and by the Federal District, encompassing 5,570 municipalities77 Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE). Estimativas da População. [Internet]. 2019 [acesso em 20 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://www.ibge.gov.br/estatisticas/sociais/populacao/9103-estimativas-de-populacao.html?edicao=25272&t=resultados.
https://www.ibge.gov.br/estatisticas/soc...
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All cases confirmed by laboratory and clinical-epidemiological diagnosis from 2009 to 2019 were considered for analysis, excluding those discarded, under investigation and inconclusive, totaling 2,021,293 cases.

The data were collected by means of records available in the Information System on Notifiable Health Problems (Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação, SINAN) database, linked to the Informatics Department of the Unified Health System (Departamento de Informática do Sistema Único de Saúde, DATASUS). The basis for classifying the cases and the variables that comprised the study are in accordance with the WHO classification, namely: dengue (with/without warning signs) and severe dengue33 World Health Organization. (WHO). Dengue and severe dengue. [Internet]. 2020 [acesso em 17 dez 2020]. Disponível em: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/dengue-and-severe-dengue.
https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheet...
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The analysis included the following variables: gender, age group, schooling level, race, severe clinical form of dengue, and mean incidence coefficient.

In relation to data tabulation, it was performed in Microsoft Excel® 2016, where the graphs and tables were also generated. The statistical analysis was developed in the SPSS software, version 22.0.

The Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) normality test was performed for the statistical analysis. As the hypothesis for this sample group was not verified, non-parametric tests were applied. The time trend analysis resorted to the Spearman’s correlation coefficient to assess the intensity and direction of the monotonous relationship between the independent variables (X), the years evaluated (from 2009 to 2019), and the dependent variables (Y), dengue cases. A 5% (p<0.05) significance level was employed in this study.

The Spearman’s correlation coefficient (R) was calculated by means of the following formula: (R=1-6∑id12/n(n2-1). Where n is the number of data points of both variables and di is the reach difference of the “n” element. When the p-values were significant (p<0.05) and the Spearman’s coefficient was positive, the trend would be increasing. If this value was negative, it would be decreasing; and it would be stationary when the p-value was not significant (p>0.05)88 Miot, HA. Análise de correlação em estudos clínicos e experimentais. J Vasc Bras. [Internet]. 2018 [acesso em 20 jan 2021]; 17(3): 275-279. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1590/1677-5449.174118.
https://doi.org/10.1590/1677-5449.174118...
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The comparative analysis between the clinical characteristics and gender was performed using the chi-square test, and the sociodemographic and epidemiological variables were compared between the groups using Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). Regarding calculation of the mean incidence coefficient, the incidence of the cases in each of the years from the time clipping was determined. For calculation, the number of new dengue cases in the regions and states in a given year was used as numerator, and the estimated population multiplied by 100,000 was the denominator99 Ministério da Saúde (BR). Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde. Guia de vigilância epidemiológica. Normas e Manuais Técnicos. [Internet]. Brasília; 2005. 6 ed. [acesso em 20 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://bvsms.saude.gov.br/bvs/publicacoes/GuiaVig Epid_novo2.pdf
https://bvsms.saude.gov.br/bvs/publicaco...
. Finally, the calculation was performed by means of the sum of the incidence results corresponding to each year, divided by the total of years in the period analyzed. The estimated population provided by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística, IBGE)77 Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE). Estimativas da População. [Internet]. 2019 [acesso em 20 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://www.ibge.gov.br/estatisticas/sociais/populacao/9103-estimativas-de-populacao.html?edicao=25272&t=resultados.
https://www.ibge.gov.br/estatisticas/soc...
was used for the calculations in question.

With regard to the classification of severe dengue cases, considering the previous categorization adopted up to 2013, dengue cases with complications, dengue hemorrhagic fever, and dengue shock syndrome were included1010 World Health Organization (WHO). Dengue haemorrhagic fever Diagnosis, treatment, prevention and control. [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 1997. 2 ed. [acesso 20 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/41988/9241545003_eng.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y.
https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/hand...
. In addition, severe dengue cases were included in the new classification, from 2014 onwards1111 World Health Organization (WHO). Dengue guidelines for diagnosis, treatment, prevention and control. [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2009. [acesso em 20 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://www.who.int/tdr/publications/documents/dengue-diagnosis.pdf
https://www.who.int/tdr/publications/doc...
. This classification was due to the fact that those forms of the disease present critical complications such as shock, severe bleeding and multiple organ impairment, leading to disease worsening1212 Ministério da Saúde (BR). Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde, Departamento de Vigilância das Doenças Transmissíveis. Dengue diagnóstico e manejo clínico adulto e criança. Normas e Manuais Técnicos. [Internet]. Brasília; 2013. 4. Ed. [acesso 20 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://bvsms.saude.gov.br/bvs/publicacoes/dengue_diagnostico_manejo_clinico_adulto.pdf.
https://bvsms.saude.gov.br/bvs/publicaco...
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The ArcGIS 10.4 software was used for geo-referencing, in which the thematic maps were prepared1313 Esri. ArcGIS. Plataforma de mapeamento e análise. [Internet]. 2021 [acesso 28 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://www.esri.com/en-us/arcgis/about-arcgis/overview.
https://www.esri.com/en-us/arcgis/about-...
. In order to prepare the maps, the geographical coordinates and the continuous cartographic databases of the Brazilian states and regions made available by the IGBE were introduced1414 Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE). Bases cartográficas contínuas - Brasil. [Internet]. 2019. [acesso 28 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://www.ibge.gov.br/geociencias/cartas-e-mapas/bases-cartograficas-continuas/15759-brasil.html?=&t=downloads.
https://www.ibge.gov.br/geociencias/cart...
. Finally, the data to be analyzed were introduced.

As this study involved secondary data, it waived Research Ethics Committee review; however, the entire research was conducted in compliance with the recommendations established by Resolution No. 466 of the National Health Council, dated December 12th, 20121515 Ministério da Saúde (BR). Conselho Nacional de Saúde. Aprova diretrizes e normas regulamentadoras de pesquisas envolvendo seres humanos. Resolução n. 466, de 12 de dezembro de 2012. [Internet]. Brasília; 2012 [acesso 28 jan 2021]. Disponível em: https://conselho.saude.gov.br/resolucoes/2012/Reso466.pdf.
https://conselho.saude.gov.br/resolucoes...
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RESULTS

A total of 7,927,927 notified and recorded dengue cases from 2009 to 2019 were eligible. Regarding the incidence coefficient for dengue (Figure 1), a stationary trend was observed, with R=0.091; p>0.05.

In relation to the mean incidence coefficient (Figure 2), the Midwest region stood out among the Brazilian regions, with a mean incidence of 765.00 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants, followed by the Southeast region (490.57 for every 100,000 inhabitants). In relation to the mean incidence coefficient by Brazilian states (Figure 3) from 2009 to 2019, Acre was the one with the highest incidence of cases, with 1,502.06 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants, followed by the states of Goiânia (988.21 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants), Mato Grosso do Sul (856.83 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants), Minas Gerais (769.39 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants), Espírito Santo (755.85 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants), and Mato Grosso (621.46 cases for every 100,000 inhabitants).

Table 1
Percentage of the dengue cases according to sociodemographic profile in Brazil between 2009 and 2019. Guanambi, Bahia, Brazil, 2021

Regarding the sociodemographic variables (Table 1), the results point to predominance of cases and percentages in the female gender (55.75%) (p<0.001) and among people aged from 20 to 39 years old (38.50%) (p<0.003). In relation to schooling, higher percentages are observed in Complete High School (11.12%) (p<0.001) and in unknown and blank cases (54.23%) (p<0.001). In terms of race, the results presented higher percentages in the white race (31.00%) and in unknown and blank cases (33.77%) (p<0.001).

Table 2
Number of cases of the severe form of dengue by Brazilian regions between 2009 and 2019. Guanambi, Bahia, Brazil, 2021

Regarding the number of cases of the severe form of dengue (Table 2), the Southeast region was the one with the highest number during the time series, with 10,445 cases, denoting a decreasing trend (R=-0.627; p<0.05), followed by the Northeast region, also with a decreasing trend (R=-0.882; p<0.05), and by the Midwest, with a stationary trend (R=-0.482; p>0.05), North (R=-0.855; p>0.05), and South (R=-0.145; p>0.05) regions.

DISCUSSION

This study evidenced a stationary trend in the incidence coefficient, with incidence rates ranging from low to high in the time series analyzed. A study conducted in Central America reported a similar finding1717 Agüero MA, Badilla KC, Castillo JBD, Cerezo L, Dueñas L, Luque M, et al. Epidemiología del dengue en Centroamérica y República Dominicana. Rev. Chil. Infect. [Internet]. 2019 [acesso em 08 fev 2021]; 36(6): 698-06. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/S0716-10182019000600698.
http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/S0716-10182019...
. This stationary trend, with high and low peaks, is associated with the rainy season; and climate is strongly related to dissemination of the mosquito, which requires ideal conditions for its reproduction, in addition to aspects related to infrastructure that may contribute to proliferation of the vector2222 Guimarães LM, Cunha GM. Diferenças por sexo e idade não preenchimento da escolaridade em fichas de vigilância em capitais brasileiras com maior incidência de dengue, 2008-2017. Cad. Saúde Pública. [Internet]. 2020 [acesso em 10 fev 2021]; 36(10): 1-12. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0102-311x00187219.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0102-311x00187...
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The results revealed a high mean incidence of cases in the Midwest and Southeast regions. This situation was similar to the one observed in another study conducted in Brazil from 2002 to 20121818 Bohm AW, Costa CS, Neves RG, Flores TR, Nunes PN. Tendência da incidência de dengue no Brasil, 2002-2012. Epidemiol Serv. Saúde. [Internet]. 2016 [acesso em 08 fev 2021]; 25(4): 725-33. Disponível em: https://www.scielo.br/j/ress/a/DVxtRGwmTrGb3sSFnZdLLpb/?lang=pt.
https://www.scielo.br/j/ress/a/DVxtRGwmT...
. This finding may result from the inefficiency of surveillance and control actions aimed at preventing the disease1919 Araújo VEM, Bezerra JMT, Amâncio FF, Passos VMA, Carneiro M. Aumento da carga de dengue no Brasil e unidades federadas, 2000 e 2015: análise do Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. Rev. Bras. Epidemiol. [Internet] 2017 [acesso em 08 fev 2021]; 20: 205-16. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1980-5497201700050017.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1980-549720170...
. This is related to the fact that actions and prevention of infections caused by the dengue virus are a challenge in Brazil, as they involve social and environmental issues such as environmental aggression, investments in environmental sanitation, and need for the participation of governments and society. Therefore, adopting strategies and control programs targeted at addressing these issues would be an advance in the disease prevention and control policy2020 Andrioli DC, Busato MA, Lutinski JÁ. Características da epidemia de dengue em Pinhalzinho, Santa Catarina, 2015-2016. Epidemiol Serv. Saúde. [Internet]. 2020 [acesso em 09 fev 2021]; 29: 1-7. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.5123/s1679-49742020000400007.
https://doi.org/10.5123/s1679-4974202000...
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In relation to the state with the highest mean incidence, although incidence was higher in the Midwest and Southeast regions, the results showed that Acre was the state with the highest mean incidence among the Brazilian states. This finding corroborates that of another research study conducted in Rio Branco, capital city of the state of Acre, Brazil2121 Duarte JL, Quijano FAD, Batista AC, Giatti LL. Climatic variables associated with dengue incidence in a city of the Western Brazilian Amazon region. Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop. [Internet] 2019 [acesso em 10 fev 2021]; 52: 1-8. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0429-2018.
https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0429-2...
. It is suggested that this scenario is related to unplanned urbanization and deforestation, as such factors play a significant role in the increased incidence of dengue2020 Andrioli DC, Busato MA, Lutinski JÁ. Características da epidemia de dengue em Pinhalzinho, Santa Catarina, 2015-2016. Epidemiol Serv. Saúde. [Internet]. 2020 [acesso em 09 fev 2021]; 29: 1-7. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.5123/s1679-49742020000400007.
https://doi.org/10.5123/s1679-4974202000...
. In addition to that, the spread of globalization, with changes in landscape, provided favorable conditions for transmission of the dengue virus, thus contributing to the high number of cases1818 Bohm AW, Costa CS, Neves RG, Flores TR, Nunes PN. Tendência da incidência de dengue no Brasil, 2002-2012. Epidemiol Serv. Saúde. [Internet]. 2016 [acesso em 08 fev 2021]; 25(4): 725-33. Disponível em: https://www.scielo.br/j/ress/a/DVxtRGwmTrGb3sSFnZdLLpb/?lang=pt.
https://www.scielo.br/j/ress/a/DVxtRGwmT...
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Regarding the gender variable, predominance of females was observed, a finding that is consistent with a study conducted in Brazilian capital cities2222 Guimarães LM, Cunha GM. Diferenças por sexo e idade não preenchimento da escolaridade em fichas de vigilância em capitais brasileiras com maior incidência de dengue, 2008-2017. Cad. Saúde Pública. [Internet]. 2020 [acesso em 10 fev 2021]; 36(10): 1-12. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0102-311x00187219.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0102-311x00187...
. This predominance may result from the higher prevalence of women in intra- or peri-domicile environments, places where most of the dengue foci are found2323 Santos DAS, Freitas ACF, Panhan ERM, Olinda RA, Goulart LS, Berredo VCM. Caracterização dos casos de dengue por localização no interior de Mato Grosso entre 2007 e 2016. Cogitare Enferm. [Internet]. 2018 [acesso em 10 fev 2021]; 23(4): e56446. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.5380/ce.v23i4.56446.
http://dx.doi.org/10.5380/ce.v23i4.56446...
. In addition to that, this finding can be associated with the fact that men seek health services less frequently, leading to a lower number of notifications in the male gender2424 Simo FBN, Bigna JJ, Kenmoe S, Ndangang MS, Temfack E; Moundipa PF, et al. Dengue virus infection in people residing in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prevalence studies. Scientific Reports [Internet]. 2019 [acesso em 11 fev 2021]; 9(1): 1-9. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-50135-x.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-501...
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In relation to age, there was predominance of individuals from 20 to 39 years old. This result was in line with that of a research study conducted in the municipality of Araraquara, São Paulo2525 Ferreira AC, Neto FC, Mondini A. Dengue in Araraquara, state of São Paulo: epidemiology, climate and aedes aegypti infestation. Rev. Saúde Públ. [Internet]. 2018 [acesso em 11 fev 2021]; 52: 18-0. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.11606/s1518-8787.2018052000414.
https://doi.org/10.11606/s1518-8787.2018...
. This finding can be due to the fact that people of this age represent the economically active population, who work or study during the day, thus being exposed to the vector, which leads to higher rates of dengue transmission1717 Agüero MA, Badilla KC, Castillo JBD, Cerezo L, Dueñas L, Luque M, et al. Epidemiología del dengue en Centroamérica y República Dominicana. Rev. Chil. Infect. [Internet]. 2019 [acesso em 08 fev 2021]; 36(6): 698-06. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/S0716-10182019000600698.
http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/S0716-10182019...
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As for schooling, there was a higher percentage of individuals with Complete High School. A similar result was found in a study conducted in the inland of Mato Grosso, Brazil2626 Santos DAS, Freitas Anne CFR, Panham ÉRM, Olinda RA, Goulart LS, Berredo VCM. Caracterização dos casos de dengue por localização no interior de Mato Grosso entre 2007 e 2016. Cogitare Enferm. [Internet]. 2018 [acesso em 11 fev 2021]; 23(4): 1-10. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.5380/ce.v23i4.56446.
http://dx.doi.org/10.5380/ce.v23i4.56446...
. This finding is possibly correlated with the fact that even individuals with knowledge and access to diverse information about the disease do not implement preventive and control measures and, as a consequence, are exposed and vulnerable to the vector2727 Costa AR, Santana CA, Silva VL, Pinheiro JAF, Marques MMM, Ferreira PMP. Análise do controle vetorial da dengue no sertão piauiense entre 2007 e 2011. Cad. Saúde Col. [Internet]. 2016 [acesso em 11 fev 2021]; 24(3): 275-281. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1590/1414-462X201600030035.
https://doi.org/10.1590/1414-462X2016000...
. There was also a high number of unknown and blank cases in the schooling variable and a high number of unknown cases in the race variable. This result can be due to failures in the system of notification and health problems, suggesting that the professionals responsible for filling out the data ignore some information when completing notification forms2828 Pereira PAS, Martins ACCT, Souza ERO, Pontes AN. Perfil epidemiológico da dengue em um município do norte brasileiro: uma análise retrospectiva. Res. Soc. Dev. [Internet]. 2020 [acesso em 11 fev 2021]; 9(12): 1-15. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v9i12.11118.
https://doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v9i12.11118...
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In relation to the race variable, there was predominance of white-skinned individuals, consistent with a research study conducted in the municipality of Primavera do Leste, Mato Grosso2929 Santana VTP, Duarte PM. Perfil epidemiológico dos casos de dengue registrados no município de Primavera do Leste - MT entre o período de 2002 a 2012. Braz. Jour. Of Dev. [Internet]. 2019 [acesso em 2021]; 5(11): 27508-18. Disponível: https://brazilianjournals.com/index.php/BRJD/article/view/4982/4605.
https://brazilianjournals.com/index.php/...
. Literature findings show that dengue has no relationship with people’s race. The increasing trend denoted in the study is possibly associated with the fact that people belonging to these races migrate to endemic regions, exposing themselves to infection2121 Duarte JL, Quijano FAD, Batista AC, Giatti LL. Climatic variables associated with dengue incidence in a city of the Western Brazilian Amazon region. Rev. Soc. Bras. Med. Trop. [Internet] 2019 [acesso em 10 fev 2021]; 52: 1-8. Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0429-2018.
https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0429-2...
.

With regard to the severe form of dengue, similar to what was found in the study in question, a reduction in the number of severe cases was also observed in a study conducted in Brazil and in Federation units3030 Araujo VEM, Bezerra JMT, Amâncio FF, Passos VMA, Carneiro M. Aumento da carga de dengue no Brasil e unidades federadas, 2000 e 2015: análise do global burden of disease study 2015. Rev Brasil Epidemiologia [Internet]. 2017 [acesso em 11 fev 2021]; 20(1): 205-16. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1980-5497201700050017.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1980-549720170...
. This result suggests early disease diagnosis, which made it possible to identify warning signs that indicate disease severity, as well as to perform an appropriate clinical management of the patients, contributing to a reduction in the number of severe cases2323 Santos DAS, Freitas ACF, Panhan ERM, Olinda RA, Goulart LS, Berredo VCM. Caracterização dos casos de dengue por localização no interior de Mato Grosso entre 2007 e 2016. Cogitare Enferm. [Internet]. 2018 [acesso em 10 fev 2021]; 23(4): e56446. Disponível em: http://dx.doi.org/10.5380/ce.v23i4.56446.
http://dx.doi.org/10.5380/ce.v23i4.56446...
.

It is worth noting that, as the current study used secondary data, it does have some limitations such as underreporting; therefore, the numbers herein presented may not correspond to the actual incidence of the disease.

CONCLUSION

Although dengue presented a stationary trend in the incidence coefficient, the results show the predominance of this arbovirus in the Brazilian territory, with a high number of cases during the time frame analyzed, which evidences the need for more effective disease control actions, including training of health professionals to fill out the forms, as there was a high number of unknown cases.

The results found indicate that, even with control and combat measures, dengue still represents an important public health problem given the high number of cases, with the need to improve actions associated with prevention and control of this disease. In addition to that, actions to reduce the number of dengue cases should be implemented, focusing on the regions and states with the highest incidence values and through strategies aimed at controlling the vector and educational actions to raise awareness in the population.

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Edited by

Associate editor: Dra. Maria Helena Barbosa

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    16 Dec 2022
  • Date of issue
    2022

History

  • Received
    16 Dec 2021
  • Accepted
    27 July 2022
Universidade Federal do Paraná Av. Prefeito Lothário Meissner, 632, Cep: 80210-170, Brasil - Paraná / Curitiba, Tel: +55 (41) 3361-3755 - Curitiba - PR - Brazil
E-mail: cogitare@ufpr.br