Yi,t-1
|
Variável dependente defasada (ROE, CPL e LnNCoop). São as variáveis dinâmicas do modelo; buscam captar a persistência do desempenho e do número de associados das cooperativas com empréstimos. |
Positivo |
Goddard et al. (2004Goddard, J., Molyneux, P., & Wilson, J. O. (2004). The profitability of European banks: A cross‐sectional and dynamic panel analysis. The Manchester School, 72(3), 363‒381. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.2004.00397.x https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.2004...
); Athanasoglou et al. (2008Athanasoglou, P. P., Brissimis, S. N., & Delis, M. D. (2008). Bank-specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Mone y , 18(2), 121‒136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2006.07.001 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2006.07...
); Carvalho et al. (2010Carvalho, F. D. M., Kayo, E. K., & Martin, D. M. L. (2010). Tangibilidade e intangibilidade na determinação do desempenho persistente de firmas brasileiras. Revista de Administração Contemporânea, 14(5), 871‒889. https://doi.org/10.1590/S1415-65552010000500007 https://doi.org/10.1590/S1415-6555201000...
); Migliardo e Forgione (2015Migliardo, C., & Forgione, A. (2015). Extra profits in the healthcare factoring industry: Evidence from panel data analysis. Economics Bulletin, 35(1), 322‒337.); Barros et al. (2020Barros, L. A., Bergmann, D. R., Castro, F. H., & da Silveira, A. D. M. (2020). Endogeneity in panel data regressions: Methodological guidance for corporate finance researchers. Revista Brasileira de Gestão de Negócios, 22, 437‒461. https://doi.org/10.7819/rbgn.v22i0.4059 https://doi.org/10.7819/rbgn.v22i0.4059...
). |
LnATit
|
Logaritmo natural do ativo total. Proxy para controlar o tamanho da cooperativa de crédito e o seu efeito no desempenho. |
Positivo |
Stiroh e Rumble (2006Stiroh, K. J., & Rumble, A. (2006). The dark side of diversification: The case of US financial holding companies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(8), 2131‒2161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005.04.030 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005....
); Goddard et al. (2008Goddard, J., McKillop, D., & Wilson, J. O. (2008). The diversification and financial performance of US credit unions. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(9), 1836‒1849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
); Lee et al. (2014Lee, C.-C., Yang, S.-J., & Chang, C.-H. (2014). Non-interest income, profitability, and risk in banking industry: A cross-country analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 27, 48‒67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.11.002 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.11....
); Ali et al. (2016Ali, S., Hashmi, S. H., & Mehmood, T. (2016). Corporate diversification and firm performance: An inverted U-shaped hypothesis. International Journal of Organizational Leadership, 5, 381‒398. https://ijol.cikd.ca/article_60389_4f9d4f185908b18ab20c749d2bc5a6fd.pdf https://ijol.cikd.ca/article_60389_4f9d4...
). |
ΔlnATit
|
Variação do logaritmo natural do ativo total. Proxy para controlar os efeitos do crescimento das cooperativas de crédito. |
Positivo |
Stiroh e Rumble (2006Stiroh, K. J., & Rumble, A. (2006). The dark side of diversification: The case of US financial holding companies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(8), 2131‒2161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005.04.030 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005....
); Mercieca et al. (2007Mercieca, S., Schaeck, K., & Wolfe, S. (2007). Small European banks: Benefits from diversification? Journal of Banking & Finance, 31(7), 1975‒1998. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.01.004 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
); Goddard et al. (2008Goddard, J., McKillop, D., & Wilson, J. O. (2008). The diversification and financial performance of US credit unions. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(9), 1836‒1849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
); Lee et al. (2014Lee, C.-C., Yang, S.-J., & Chang, C.-H. (2014). Non-interest income, profitability, and risk in banking industry: A cross-country analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 27, 48‒67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.11.002 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.11....
). |
(ΔlnAT)2it
|
Transformação quadrática da variação do logaritmo natural do ativo. Incluída para verificar a relação não linear entre o crescimento do ativo e o desempenho. |
Negativo |
Stiroh e Rumble (2006Stiroh, K. J., & Rumble, A. (2006). The dark side of diversification: The case of US financial holding companies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(8), 2131‒2161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005.04.030 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005....
); Mercieca et al. (2007Mercieca, S., Schaeck, K., & Wolfe, S. (2007). Small European banks: Benefits from diversification? Journal of Banking & Finance, 31(7), 1975‒1998. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.01.004 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
); Goddard et al. (2008Goddard, J., McKillop, D., & Wilson, J. O. (2008). The diversification and financial performance of US credit unions. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(9), 1836‒1849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
). |
EAit
|
Razão entre empréstimos e ativo total. Interpretada como uma medida de especialização de empréstimos que pode proporcionar benefícios advindos de informações valiosas.
|
Incerto |
Kimball (1997Kimball, R. C. (1997). Specialization, risk, and capital in banking. New England Economic Review, 51‒73. https://www.bostonfed.org/publications/new-england-economic-review/1997-issues/issue-november-december-1997/specialization-risk-and-capital-in-banking.aspx https://www.bostonfed.org/publications/n...
); Stiroh e Rumble (2006Stiroh, K. J., & Rumble, A. (2006). The dark side of diversification: The case of US financial holding companies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(8), 2131‒2161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005.04.030 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005....
); Mercieca et al. (2007Mercieca, S., Schaeck, K., & Wolfe, S. (2007). Small European banks: Benefits from diversification? Journal of Banking & Finance, 31(7), 1975‒1998. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.01.004 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
); Goddard et al. (2008Goddard, J., McKillop, D., & Wilson, J. O. (2008). The diversification and financial performance of US credit unions. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(9), 1836‒1849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
); Lee et al. (2014Lee, C.-C., Yang, S.-J., & Chang, C.-H. (2014). Non-interest income, profitability, and risk in banking industry: A cross-country analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 27, 48‒67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.11.002 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.11....
). |
PAit
|
Razão entre patrimônio líquido e ativo total. Proxy interpretada como uma medida de segurança das cooperativas de crédito.
|
Incerto |
Berger (1995Berger, P. G., & Ofek, E. (1995). Diversification's effect on firm value. Journal of Financial Economics, 37(1), 39‒65. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(94)00798-6 https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(94)007...
); Goddard et al. (2004Goddard, J., Molyneux, P., & Wilson, J. O. (2004). The profitability of European banks: A cross‐sectional and dynamic panel analysis. The Manchester School, 72(3), 363‒381. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.2004.00397.x https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.2004...
); Stiroh e Rumble (2006Stiroh, K. J., & Rumble, A. (2006). The dark side of diversification: The case of US financial holding companies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(8), 2131‒2161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005.04.030 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005....
); Mercieca et al. (2007Mercieca, S., Schaeck, K., & Wolfe, S. (2007). Small European banks: Benefits from diversification? Journal of Banking & Finance, 31(7), 1975‒1998. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.01.004 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
); Goddard et al. (2008Goddard, J., McKillop, D., & Wilson, J. O. (2008). The diversification and financial performance of US credit unions. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(9), 1836‒1849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
); Lee et al. (2014Lee, C.-C., Yang, S.-J., & Chang, C.-H. (2014). Non-interest income, profitability, and risk in banking industry: A cross-country analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 27, 48‒67. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.11.002 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2013.11....
). |
ΔlnPIBit
|
Variação no logaritmo natural do PIB (Produtor Interno Bruto) nacional semestral. Verifica o impacto do crescimento da economia no desempenho das cooperativas. |
Positivo |
Goddard et al. (2008Goddard, J., McKillop, D., & Wilson, J. O. (2008). The diversification and financial performance of US credit unions. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(9), 1836‒1849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.015 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007....
). |
Incorpit
|
Incorporação. Dummy que assume valor igual a 1 quando ocorre incorporação total e/ou parcial, e 0, caso contrário. Incluída para considerar o efeito das incorporações (da incorporadora) no desempenho das cooperativas. |
Incerto |
Goddard et al. (2009Goddard, J., McKillop, D., & Wilson, J. O. (2009). Which credit unions are acquired? Journal of Financial Services Research, 36(2‒3), 231‒252. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10693-009-0055-x https://doi.org/10.1007/s10693-009-0055-...
); Mckillop e Wilson (2011McKillop, D., & Wilson, J. O. (2011). Credit unions: A theoretical and empirical overview. Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, 20(3), 79‒123. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0416.2011.00166.x https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0416.2011...
); Pessanha et al. (2012Pessanha, G. R. G., Calegario, C. L. L., Safadi, T., & Ázara, L. N. D. (2012). Impactos de las estrategias de fusión y adquisición en la rentabilidad de los bancos adquirentes: Una aplicación de modelos de intervención en el sector bancario brasileño. RAM: Revista de Administração Mackenzie, 13(5), 101‒134. https://doi.org/10.1590/S1678-69712012000500005 https://doi.org/10.1590/S1678-6971201200...
). |