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Segmentation of current and potential investors in retirement plans to retain and capture customers

ABSTRACT

The goal of this research was to fill the gap represented by the lack of studies that apply Behavioral Finance concepts in the segmentation of investors in retirement savings plans. Based on a bibliographic review, and the study of multiple cases, there was revealed relevant aspects of the supplemental retirement market in Brazil, this article proposes a new set of demographic and psychographic variables that were more effective in previous research in the segmentation of financial services clients. It innovates by incorporating variables from Psychology and Behavioral Finance, especially the “rationality” variable which has a remarkable ability to synthesize vulnerabilities to a wide universe of heuristics and biases when applied to investors. In addition, significant behavioral barriers were identified for the expansion of the retirement market, such as a low level of maturity of current market practices in Brazil and the need to use Behavioral Finance instruments in this confrontation.

KEYWORDS
Supplemental Retirement Savings Plans; Behavioral Sciences; Financial Markets; Market Segmentation; Consumer Behavior

RESUMO

O objetivo desta pesquisa foi preencher a lacuna representada pela inexistência de estudos que apliquem conceitos de Finanças Comportamentais na segmentação de investidores em planos de previdência. A partir de uma revisão bibliográfica e do estudo de casos múltiplos que descortinaram relevantes aspectos do mercado de previdência complementar no Brasil, este artigo propõe um novo conjunto de variáveis demográficas e psicográficas que se mostraram mais eficazes em pesquisas anteriores na segmentação de clientes de serviços financeiros e inova ao incorporar variáveis oriundas da Psicologia e de Finanças Comportamentais, sobretudo a variável “racionalidade” cuja aferição nos investidores possui uma notável capacidade de síntese da vulnerabilidade a um amplo universo de heurísticas e de vieses. Adicionalmente, foram identificadas significativas barreiras comportamentais para a expansão do mercado de previdência, um baixo nível de maturidade das práticas atuais de mercado para enfrentá-las no Brasil e a necessidade da utilização de instrumentos de Finanças Comportamentais nesse enfrentamento.

PALAVRAS-CHAVE
Planos de Previdência Complementar; Ciências Comportamentais; Mercados Financeiros; Segmentação de Mercado; Comportamento do Consumidor

1. INTRODUCTION

Research about the hybrid segmentation focused on investors are rare, and the ones developed by Keller and Siegrist (2006Keller, C., & Siegrist, M. (2006). Money attitude typology and stock investment.The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 7(2), 88-96.) and by Deccax and Campani (2019Deccax, R. A., & Campani, C. H. (2019). Investor segmentation: how to improve current techniques by incorporating behavioural finance concepts?. International Journal of Economics and Business Research, 18(1), 31-48.) are exceptions. Regarding investors in retirement savings plans, within the scope of the extensive bibliographic review conducted by this study, a survey by Gough and Sozou (2005Gough, O., & Sozou, P. D. (2005). Pensions and retirement savings: cluster analysis of consumer behaviour and attitudes.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) was the only one found about segmentation with this specific focus. The present study intends to mitigate this gap by considering research results on the segmentation of clients of other financial services and employing the applicable knowledge of Behavioral Finance.

The segmentation of individual investors in general, regardless of the types of investment in which they invest their resources, is a complex activity and of evident importance for financial institutions, regulatory bodies, and for the investors themselves.

One of the most relevant and promising applications for segmenting individual investors is in those that invest (or could invest) in supplemental retirement savings plans. Such plans represent an investment modality with increasing economic and social representativeness.

The objective of this research is to develop a new set of variables for segmenting current and potential individual investors in private retirement savings plans. This set of variables for segmentation is of special interest for private retirement savings plans because of the possibility of mapping the most promising segments of potential customers (directing actions to attract new customers) and to improve their loyalty and profitability actions for their customers current customers.

According to the classification used by Hunt (2014Hunt, S. D. (2014). Marketing Theory: Foundations, Controversy, Strategy, and Resource-advantage Theory: Foundations, Controversy, Strategy, and Resource-advantage Theory. Routledge.), this study can be qualified as “marketing research” because it seeks an expansion of the Marketing knowledge base and a contribution of general application (more specifically, for private retirement savings plans), not being restricted to the reality of a particular organization. The same applies to other published studies - such as Gough and Sozou (2005Gough, O., & Sozou, P. D. (2005). Pensions and retirement savings: cluster analysis of consumer behaviour and attitudes.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Keller and Siegrist (2006Keller, C., & Siegrist, M. (2006). Money attitude typology and stock investment.The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 7(2), 88-96.), Fünfgeld and Wang (2009Fünfgeld, B., & Wang, M. (2009). Attitudes and behaviour in everyday finance: evidence from Switzerland.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Makgosa et al. (2016Makgosa, R., Matenge, T., & Mburu, P. (2016). Hybrid segmentation in the financial services market: targeting saving consumers.Family and Consumer Sciences Research Journal, 44(4), 447-468.) and Deccax and Campani (2019Deccax, R. A., & Campani, C. H. (2019). Investor segmentation: how to improve current techniques by incorporating behavioural finance concepts?. International Journal of Economics and Business Research, 18(1), 31-48.) - who developed hybrid approaches to segmenting financial services customers.

This study, like the ones mentioned above, can also be classified as “problem-oriented research” because, according to Myers, Massy and Greyser (1980, as quoted in Hunt, 2014Hunt, S. D. (2014). Marketing Theory: Foundations, Controversy, Strategy, and Resource-advantage Theory: Foundations, Controversy, Strategy, and Resource-advantage Theory. Routledge.), this type of research “can be fundamentally or highly applicable, but its driving force is the desire to make a contribution to the solution of an important practical problem”. This is corroborated by its normative character - when proposing a new set of variables for segmenting retirement investors - evidenced by the search for an answer to the following research question: “How should private retirement savings plans segment current and potential investors with the objective of improving customer loyalty and attracting customers?”.

The method used here was the study of multiple cases, with a sample of five companies representative of the Brazilian private pension market. The script used in the semi-structured interviews with the executives of these companies was developed based on a bibliographic review.

The results achieved by this study reveal a general picture of diversified, limited, and predominantly incipient practices for segmenting potential and current customers. This leads to an inadequate understanding of their needs, constituting a limiter for the maturation and expansion of this market.

The contributions of this research are the identification of opportunities for development of this theme, both in the literature and in market practices, as well as the proposition of a new set of variables for the segmentation of current and potential individual investors in private retirement savings plans.

For “practitioners” (executives and entrepreneurs, especially), the relevance of this study is the result of the sum of two factors that we highlight below.

1.1. Relevant market, with growing competition and great expansion potential

The supplemental retirement market in Brazil, despite being far from the maturity level of many other countries, already has a significant economic magnitude: USD 223 billion in assets in 2018. On the other hand, its potential for expansion is revealed by its reduced (only 12.6%) representativeness compared to the country’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product). The average of OECD member countries (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) for this indicator is 53.3%. The potential of the Brazilian market is reiterated by the 7.9% growth from 2017 to 2018 (that is, in a period of low GDP growth in the country), while the average of the OECD countries was a decrease of 3.9% and with only four of them exceeding our index (Antolin et al., 2019Antolin, P., Despalins, R., & Payet, S. (2019, May). Pension Funds in Figures. https://www.oecd.org/pensions/private-pensions/Pension-Funds-in-Figures-2019.pdf
https://www.oecd.org/pensions/private-pe...
).

The evolution of age groups in Brazil since 2010, and projected until 2060, with an expected reduction in PAA (Population in Active Age, between 15 and 64 years) from 67.99% to 59.80% in this period, also constitutes a powerful motivation for the expansion of the supplemental retirement market in the country (IBGE, 2019IBGE (2019, August 30). Projeção da população do Brasil e das Unidades da Federação. https://www.ibge.gov.br/apps/populacao/projecao/
https://www.ibge.gov.br/apps/populacao/p...
).

The recent approval of the public retirement reform represents an additional factor to leverage this market, with estimates of a 25% increase in the number of people who invest in private pension (from 16 to 20 million). As a result, competition tends to increase even more: since 2007, the number of retirement savings plans has increased from 392 to 1,786 and the total number of fund managers from 45 to 124. “Other factors favor the growth of the private pension market: the fall in the economy’s basic interest rates and the growing competition between fund managers, fintechs, banks and insurance companies.” (Setti and Sorima Neto, 2019Setti, R., & Sorima Neto, J. (2019, August 11). Com reforma, 4 milhões de brasileiros devem aderir à previdência privada em cinco anos. https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/com-reforma-4-milhoes-de-brasileiros-devem-aderir-previdencia-privada-em-cinco-anos-23869473
https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/com-re...
).

1.2. increasingly complex and diversified supply and demand

Another contributing factor to the growing importance of the theme of this research, which is strongly related to the previous factor, is the change in profile both in supply and demand in this market. Experts point out that private retirement savings plans have complex rules and that this is aggravated by the need to adapt the offer to the specific needs of each investor. On the other hand, fund managers have sought to modernize the products in this market (Jakitas and Nascimento, 2019Jakitas, R., & Nascimento, T. (2019, July 22). Com crise econômica, previdência privada vive momento de estagnação. https://economia.uol.com.br/noticias/estadao-conteudo/2019/07/22/com-crise-economica-previdencia-privada-vive-momento-de-estagnacao.htm
https://economia.uol.com.br/noticias/est...
).

On the demand side, the heterogeneity of retirement investors was recently evidenced by Gallo et al. (2018Gallo, G., Torricelli, C., & Van Soest, A. (2018). Individual heterogeneity and pension choices: Evidence from Italy.Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 148, 260-281.) when identifying segments of individuals with different behaviors. In addition, and even more relevant, the authors found that the cognitive processes underlying the decision to participate in retirement plans can be diverse and complex.

2. LITERATURE

The segmentation of current and potential private pension investors requires an in-depth understanding of the aspects that ultimately determine and condition their individual decision-making process regarding this specific financial product. In the universe of reputable journals that were researched in the scope of this research, the behavioral aspects related specifically to private pension and the segmentation approaches already used in individual clients of financial services in general (including private pension) emerged with prominence.

2.1. Behavioral aspects in private pension

There is a range of behavioral aspects which, individually or together, have already been proved important by studies in the decision to invest or not in private pensions, in addition to how and how much to invest.

Bongini and Cucinelli (2019Bongini, P., & Cucinelli, D. (2019). University students and retirement planning: never too early.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) identified numerous factors that positively influence people’s intention to invest in a retirement plan: attitude, subjective norms, perceived behavioral control, knowledge about retirement, management of financial resources, and a high level of financial knowledge. This result confirms and extends the discovery by Van Rooij et al. (2011Van Rooij, M. C., Lusardi, A., & Alessie, R. J. (2011). Financial literacy and retirement planning in the Netherlands.Journal of Economic Psychology, 32(4), 593-608.) that individuals with greater financial knowledge are more likely to plan for retirement and also that of Cobb-Clark et al. (2016Cobb-Clark, D. A., Kassenboehmer, S. C., & Sinning, M. G. (2016). Locus of control and savings.Journal of Banking & Finance, 73, 113-130.). They found that people with a “locus of internal control” (who believe they control most of the relevant aspects of their lives) save more.

Additional factors regarding the predisposition to invest in private pension are age - especially around 40 years old (Gourinchas and Parker, 2002Gourinchas, P. O., & Parker, J. A. (2002). Consumption over the life cycle.Econometrica, 70(1), 47-89.) - and healthy behaviors such as the practice of physical exercise and the search for a balanced diet (Finke and Huston, 2013Finke, M. S., & Huston, S. J. (2013). Time preference and the importance of saving for retirement.Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 89, 23-34.). This latest study found evidence that this surprising variable (healthy behaviors) is a more powerful predictor of the inclination to invest for retirement than all the other explanatory variables considered (age, race, parents’ income level, gender, and academic performance).

Once the decision to invest in a private retirement savings plan is made, other behavioral issues arise. The exploratory study by Harrison et al. (2006Harrison, T., Waite, K., & White, P. (2006). Analysis by paralysis: the pension purchase decision process.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) revealed evidence that the decisions of these investors are neither rational nor fully informed, being characterized by complexity, confusion, and apathy. Sourdin (2008Sourdin, P. (2008). Pension contributions as a commitment device: Evidence of sophistication among time-inconsistent households.Journal of Economic Psychology, 29(4), 577-596.), for instance, found that individuals with self-control problems are more likely to invest in private retirement savings plan with less liquidity and Dahlquist and Martinez (2015Dahlquist, M., & Martinez, J. V. (2015). Investor inattention: a hidden cost of choice in pension plans?.European Financial Management, 21(1), 1-19.) identified that inertia and a lack of attention to past performance can translate into worse results for investors in their private pension investments. Recently, Ongena and Zalewska (2018Ongena, S., & Zalewska, A. A. (2018). Institutional and individual investors: Saving for old age.Journal of Banking & Finance, 92, 257-268.) went further and concluded that, given their deficient decision-making process, investors are not prepared for the role that the private pension industry has reserved for them.

Along the same lines, and in investigating the exercise of investor autonomy when choosing the portfolio of their retirement savings plans, Benartzi and Thaler (2002Benartzi, S., & Thaler, R. H. (2002). How much is investor autonomy worth?.The Journal of Finance, 57(4), 1593-1616.) reached the relevant conclusion that they do not have well-defined preferences. Regarding risk aversion when choosing private retirement savings plans, Gürdal et al. (2017Gürdal, M. Y., Kuzubaş, T. U., & Saltoğlu, B. (2017). Measures of individual risk attitudes and portfolio choice: Evidence from pension participants.Journal of Economic Psychology, 62, 186-203.) revealed that the willingness declared by investors themselves to take risks in general seems to be the most relevant measure in predicting their real behavior in this regard, and Hauff (2014Hauff, J. C. (2014). Trust and risk-taking in a pension investment setting.The International Journal of Bank Marketing, 32(5), 408-428.) showed that individuals with a higher level of financial knowledge take more risks.

Unlike the descriptive nature of the studies, Reyers et al. (2015Reyers, M., Van Schalkwyk, C. H., & Gouws, D. G. (2015). Rational and behavioural predictors of pre-retirement cash-outs.Journal of Economic Psychology, 47, 23-33.) and Mitchell and Utkus (2006Mitchell, O. S., & Utkus, S. P. (2006). How Behavioral Finance Can Inform Retirement Plan Design 1.Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 18(1), 82-94.) sought to incorporate a normative (prescriptive) character in their research. Reyers et al. (2015Reyers, M., Van Schalkwyk, C. H., & Gouws, D. G. (2015). Rational and behavioural predictors of pre-retirement cash-outs.Journal of Economic Psychology, 47, 23-33.) indicate that interventions such as decision support and guidance can help individuals to make optimal decisions regarding private pension. Mitchell and Utkus (2006Mitchell, O. S., & Utkus, S. P. (2006). How Behavioral Finance Can Inform Retirement Plan Design 1.Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 18(1), 82-94.) are more specific, prescribing the inclusion of standard options selected optimally; the design of simplified menus in retirement savings plans; better approaches to help workers and retirees to manage risk; and the inclusion of improved standard options in retirement.

2.2. Investor segmentation

To obtain superior results, some studies have used segmentation techniques with hybrid approaches and in different financial services markets, such as those presented in Table 1.

Table 1
Segmentation Studies in Different Financial Services Markets

The vast majority of the most recent of these studies - Gough and Sozou (2005Gough, O., & Sozou, P. D. (2005). Pensions and retirement savings: cluster analysis of consumer behaviour and attitudes.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Keller and Siegrist (2006Keller, C., & Siegrist, M. (2006). Money attitude typology and stock investment.The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 7(2), 88-96.), Fünfgeld and Wang (2009Fünfgeld, B., & Wang, M. (2009). Attitudes and behaviour in everyday finance: evidence from Switzerland.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Makgosa et al. (2016Makgosa, R., Matenge, T., & Mburu, P. (2016). Hybrid segmentation in the financial services market: targeting saving consumers.Family and Consumer Sciences Research Journal, 44(4), 447-468.) and Deccax and Campani (2019Deccax, R. A., & Campani, C. H. (2019). Investor segmentation: how to improve current techniques by incorporating behavioural finance concepts?. International Journal of Economics and Business Research, 18(1), 31-48.), to name just a few - combine psychographic and demographic characteristics in their hybrid financial services customer segmentation approaches.

The first relevant studies on the segmentation of financial services clients employed unique factors, whether demographic or psychographic, in their analysis. Stanley et al. (1985Stanley, T. O., Ford, J. K., & Richards, S. K. (1985). Segmentation of bank customers by age.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), for example, revealed through a survey with bank account holders that the “age” factor is decisive for their use of specific banking products.

However, over time, the need to use multiple factors in the segmentation of financial services clients has been highlighted to achieve more effective results. Harrison (1994Harrison, T. S. (1994). Mapping customer segments for personal financial services.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) and Machauer and Morgner (2001Machauer, A., & Morgner, S. (2001). Segmentation of bank customers by expected benefits and attitudes.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) are examples of criticism to the unrealistic simplicity, the questionable generalization of results, and the limited practical relevance of segmentation with unique factors.

There is a considerable diversity of combinations of factors in relevant research on hybrid segmentation of financial services customers. Makgosa et al. (2016Makgosa, R., Matenge, T., & Mburu, P. (2016). Hybrid segmentation in the financial services market: targeting saving consumers.Family and Consumer Sciences Research Journal, 44(4), 447-468.) argue that the different approaches to segmentation have strengths and weaknesses and that an ideal approach does not exist. Nevertheless, there are two trends that emerge with clear evidence: the use in almost all studies of demographic factors and the predominance of the combination of demographic and psychographic factors, the latter also containing the so-called “segmentation by benefits”.

2.2.1. Demographic segmentation

The demographic segmentation of financial services customers, applied alone or in conjunction with other types of segmentation, employs variables that measure characteristics of individuals relevant to their purposes. Makgosa et al. (2016Makgosa, R., Matenge, T., & Mburu, P. (2016). Hybrid segmentation in the financial services market: targeting saving consumers.Family and Consumer Sciences Research Journal, 44(4), 447-468.) highlight that demographic variables - such as “gender”, “age”, “income level”, “educational level”, “occupation” and “marital status” - are observable and, in this way, are easier to obtain. Minhas and Jacobs (1996Minhas, R. S., & Jacobs, E. M. (1996). Benefit segmentation by factor analysis: an improved method of targeting customers for financial services.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) state that these variables influence consumer behavior and that, therefore, they can be used as “proxies” for the analysis of their direct needs.

Many relevant studies have evidenced a significant impact of the use of demographic variables, usually in conjunction with other demographic variables or with psychographic variables, in the segmentation of financial services clients: Stanley et al. (1985Stanley, T. O., Ford, J. K., & Richards, S. K. (1985). Segmentation of bank customers by age.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Harrison (1994Harrison, T. S. (1994). Mapping customer segments for personal financial services.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Alfansi and Sargeant (2000Alfansi, L., & Sargeant, A. (2000). Market segmentation in the Indonesian banking sector: the relationship between demographics and desired customer benefits.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Andronikidis and Dimitriadis (2003Andronikidis, A. I., & Dimitriadis, N. I. (2003). Segmentation of bank customers by utilising ethnic/cultural profile dimensions: A qualitative approach.Journal of Marketing Management, 19(5-6), 629-655.), Gough and Sozou (2005Gough, O., & Sozou, P. D. (2005). Pensions and retirement savings: cluster analysis of consumer behaviour and attitudes.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Keller and Siegrist (2006Keller, C., & Siegrist, M. (2006). Money attitude typology and stock investment.The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 7(2), 88-96.), Ansell et al. (2007Ansell, J., Harrison, T., & Archibald, T. (2007). Identifying cross‐selling opportunities, using lifestyle segmentation and survival analysis.Marketing Intelligence & Planning.), Fünfgeld and Wang (2009Fünfgeld, B., & Wang, M. (2009). Attitudes and behaviour in everyday finance: evidence from Switzerland.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Foscht et al. (2010Foscht, T., Maloles, C., Schloffer, J., & Chia, S. L. (2010). Banking on the youth: the case for finer segmentation of the youth market.Young Consumers.) and Makgosa et al. (2016Makgosa, R., Matenge, T., & Mburu, P. (2016). Hybrid segmentation in the financial services market: targeting saving consumers.Family and Consumer Sciences Research Journal, 44(4), 447-468.).

The relationship between these surveys and the demographic variables employed by each of them in this type of segmentation is summarized in Table 2.

Table 2
Demographic Variables Employed by Different Studies in Customer Service Segmentation

2.2.2. Psychographic Segmentation

Any type of segmentation related to the psychological and behavioral aspects of financial services clients belongs to the sphere of psychographic segmentation. This includes the so-called “benefit segmentation”.

Makgosa et al. (2016Makgosa, R., Matenge, T., & Mburu, P. (2016). Hybrid segmentation in the financial services market: targeting saving consumers.Family and Consumer Sciences Research Journal, 44(4), 447-468.) emphasize that psychographic characteristics are not directly observable - which makes it difficult to obtain them - but are critical in determining preferences and needs for products or brands. Therefore, and unlike what happens with demographic characteristics, psychographic characteristics are directly related to consumer behavior and, thus, make the use of “proxies” unnecessary.

As with demographic segmentation, many relevant studies studies have also shown a significant impact due to the use of psychographic variables. The relationship between these studies and the psychographic variables employed by each of them is summarized in Table 3.

Table 3
Psychographic Variables Employed by Different Studies in Segmentation of Financial Services Clients

It is important to mention that there are several other studies on psychographic analysis in the context of the financial behavior of individuals, but without the specific purpose of performing the psychographic segmentation of financial services clients. Therefore, its effectiveness in this type of application has not yet been assessed.

In short, the hybrid segmentation of financial services customers is a predominant trend, especially with the combined use of demographic and psychographic factors. Notwithstanding the diversity of these factors - even more prominently in the case of psychographic factors, with an increasing range of criteria that is typical of rapidly developing areas of study -, there is still room for the consideration of additional variables. This is evidenced, for example, by the variety of psychographic analyzes in the context of the financial behavior of individuals, but not yet applied in the psychographic segmentation of financial services clients. The Behavioral Finance area represents another promising source of psychographic variables for this type of segmentation.

2.3. Behavioral Finance

Two essential concepts of Behavioral Finance are that of “heuristics” (artifice that simplifies intuitive thinking to facilitate decision making) and that of “bias” (systematic error in decision making and resulting from the heuristics used). Both are detailed by Tversky and Kahneman (1975Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1975). Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Utility, Probability, and Human Decision Making, 185 (4157), 141-162.), who in this seminal article explored three heuristics (“representativeness”; “availability”; and “adjustment and anchoring”) and several resulting biases.

The known universe of heuristics and biases is vast and still expanding due to the huge number of studies already conducted and in progress in several areas (Psychology and Behavioral Finance, most notably). Its order of magnitude today reaches dozens of heuristics and biases, and many of them have already had their influence on financial decision making evidenced by research published in respected periodicals. Three of these last biases were particularly prominent in the bibliographic review conducted within the scope of this study, due to the number of articles in renowned journals that addressed them:

  • Risk Aversion:Kahneman and Tversky (1979Kahneman, D.; & Tversky, A. (1979) Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk. Econometrica, 47, no. 2, 263-91.), Keller and Siegrist (2006Keller, C., & Siegrist, M. (2006). Money attitude typology and stock investment.The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 7(2), 88-96.), Singh (2010Singh, R. (2010). Behavioural finance studies: emergence and developments.Journal of Contemporary Management Research, 4(2), 1.), Merkle and Weber (2014Merkle, C., & Weber, M. (2014). Do investors put their money where their mouth is? Stock market expectations and investing behavior.Journal of Banking & Finance, 46, 372-386.), Aren and Zengin (2016Aren, S., & Zengin, A. N. (2016). Influence of financial literacy and risk perception on choice of investment.Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 235, 656-663.) and Bucciol and Zarri (2017Bucciol, A., & Zarri, L. (2017). Do personality traits influence investors’ portfolios?.Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 68, 1-12.);

  • Overconfidence:Barber and Odean (2001Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment.The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292.), Hirshleifer (2001Hirshleifer, D. (2001). Investor psychology and asset pricing.The Journal of Finance, 56(4), 1533-1597.), Hilary and Menzly (2006Hilary, G., & Menzly, L. (2006). Does past success lead analysts to become overconfident?.Management Science, 52(4), 489-500.), Chen et al. (2007Chen, G., Kim, K. A., Nofsinger, J. R., & Rui, O. M. (2007). Trading performance, disposition effect, overconfidence, representativeness bias, and experience of emerging market investors.Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 20(4), 425-451.), Deaves et al. (2009Deaves, R., Lüders, E., & Luo, G. Y. (2008). An experimental test of the impact of overconfidence and gender on trading activity.Review of Finance, 13(3), 555-575.), Grinblatt and Keloharju (2009Grinblatt, M., & Keloharju, M. (2009). Sensation seeking, overconfidence, and trading activity.The Journal of Finance, 64(2), 549-578.), Hackbarth (2009Hackbarth, D. (2009). Determinants of corporate borrowing: A behavioral perspective.Journal of Corporate Finance, 15(4), 389-411.), Adam et al. (2015Adam, T. R., Fernando, C. S., & Golubeva, E. (2015). Managerial overconfidence and corporate risk management.Journal of Banking & Finance, 60, 195-208.) and Huang et al. (2016Huang, R., Tan, K. J. K., & Faff, R. W. (2016). CEO overconfidence and corporate debt maturity.Journal of Corporate Finance, 36, 93-110.);

  • Optimism:Singh (2010Singh, R. (2010). Behavioural finance studies: emergence and developments.Journal of Contemporary Management Research, 4(2), 1.), Campbell et al. (2011Campbell, T. C., Gallmeyer, M., Johnson, S. A., Rutherford, J., & Stanley, B. W. (2011). CEO optimism and forced turnover.Journal of Financial Economics, 101(3), 695-712.), Antoniou et al. (2013Antoniou, C., Doukas, J. A., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2013). Cognitive dissonance, sentiment, and momentum.Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 48(1), 245-275.), Campbell (2014Campbell, T. C. (2014). CEO optimism and the board’s choice of successor.Journal of Corporate Finance, 29, 495-510.), Arif and Lee (2014Arif, S., & Lee, C. M. (2014). Aggregate investment and investor sentiment.The Review of Financial Studies, 27(11), 3241-3279.), Kuhnen (2015Kuhnen, C. M. (2015). Asymmetric learning from financial information.The Journal of Finance, 70(5), 2029-2062.) and Kuo et al. (2015Kuo, W. Y., Lin, T. C., & Zhao, J. (2014). Cognitive limitation and investment performance: Evidence from limit order clustering.The Review of Financial Studies, 28(3), 838-875.).

All heuristics and biases originate from brain mechanisms involved in the decision-making process and were synthetically represented by the revolutionary and mutually complementary concepts of “System 1” (automatic, fast, intuitive, largely unconscious, and very vulnerable to bias) and “System 2” (voluntary, relatively slow, rational, conscious, analytical, and responsible for self-control and complex calculations) introduced by Stanovich and West (2000Stanovich, K. E., & West, R. F. (2000). Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate?.Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 23(5), 645-665.). This theoretical contribution, also coming from Psychology - from studies like Epstein’s (1994Epstein, S. (1994). Integration of the cognitive and the psychodynamic unconscious.American Psychologist, 49(8), 709.) and his Cognitive-Experiential Self-Theory (CEST) that created the ideas of “experiential system” and “rational system” - represents one of the pillars of Behavioral Finance, recognized and used even by renowned works in the area, such as, for example, Thaler and Sunstein (2008Thaler, R. H.; & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving Decisions about Health, Wealth, and Happiness, Yale University Press, New Haven.) and, especially, Kahneman (2011Kahneman, D. (2011).Thinking, fast and slow. Macmillan.).

Kahneman (2011Kahneman, D. (2011).Thinking, fast and slow. Macmillan.) mentions studies that reveal that there are individuals (called “lazy”) more inclined to accept decisions made exclusively by their System 1 - and, as a consequence, more likely to make mistakes - and there are others (called “engaged”) in which their System 2 assume a greater role - they are naturally less subject to decision-making errors.

Stanovich (2011Stanovich, K. (2011).Rationality and the reflective mind. Oxford University Press.) summarizes the result of decades of study, the core of which is relevant to the purposes of this study in the observation that “intelligence” and “rationality” are distinct phenomena and belong to “minds” that coexist in “System 2”.

“Intelligence” refers to slow, analytical, and complex thoughts. Intelligent people tend to excel in conventional IQ tests. “Rationality”, on the other hand, refers to reflective thoughts and the ability to mitigate the occurrence of cognitive errors. It coincides with the concept of “cognitive reflection” (the ability or willingness to resist reporting the answer that first comes to mind) measured by the Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT) proposed by Frederick (2005Frederick, S. (2005). Cognitive reflection and decision making.Journal of Economic Perspectives, 19(4), 25-42.).

In addition, Pacini and Epstein (1999Pacini, R., & Epstein, S. (1999). The relation of rational and experiential information processing styles to personality, basic beliefs, and the ratio-bias phenomenon.Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 76(6), 972.) demonstrated that “rationality” can be assessed by an improved version of the Rational-Experiential Inventory (REI) by measuring the styles of rational and experiential thinking. Experiments conducted revealed that “rationality” tests are superior measures of vulnerability to biases than conventional IQ tests.

This deepening by Stanovich (2011Stanovich, K. (2011).Rationality and the reflective mind. Oxford University Press.) of the understanding of Simon’s pioneering and fundamental concept of “bounded rationality” (1957Simon, H. A. (1957).Models of man: social and rational; mathematical essays on rational human behavior in society setting. Wiley.) represents a significant advance not only for the areas of Psychology and Behavioral Finance, but for Social Sciences in general.

3. METHODOLOGY

According to the classification used by Creswell (2003Creswell, J. W. (2003).Research design: Qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods approaches. Sage publications.), this research can be characterized as being qualitative and exploratory. As its objective is to develop a new set of variables for segmenting current and potential individual investors in private pensions, we sought to raise both what science has already produced in this regard - that which is materialized by the published literature cited in this article, highlighting those of a normative (prescriptive) nature on segmentation approaches - and the identification of real and contemporary market practices - revealed by the multiple case study undertaken here, constituting the descriptive portion of this research. Therefore, it used, in a complementary way, a normative and a descriptive approach, respectively.

Here we followed the fundamental principles of “engaged scholarship” defended by Van de Ven (2007Van de Ven, A. H. (2007).Engaged scholarship: A guide for organizational and social research. Oxford University Press on Demand.), both through their means - by involving “practitioners” (in this case, market executives) in the design of the research and also in the provision of relevant information during the same - and its ends, by aiming to develop knowledge that contributes in a relevant way both for science and for the daily practices in organizations.

In its strategy, this research opted for the study of multiple cases to explore the practical reality and, from the understanding of it, and in line with the findings of Yin (2001Yin, R. K. (2001).Estudo de caso: planejamento e métodos. Bookman editora.), to elaborate theoretical propositions more robust than those derived from a single case. The analytical technique adopted was the “synthesis of cross cases” with the case comparison approach, in this study comprising five companies in the Brazilian private pension market.

The bibliographic review previously conducted makes it possible to understand the topic from a theoretical perspective, to identify the most promising investor segmentation techniques for the purpose of this study and to support the development of a semi-structured interview script that prioritized the most relevant topics without hindering the incorporation of others that might appear spontaneously during each interview. This script included questions on several pertinent topics regarding the practices currently used by each company: objectives and scope - with questions based on Deccax and Campani (2019Deccax, R. A., & Campani, C. H. (2019). Investor segmentation: how to improve current techniques by incorporating behavioural finance concepts?. International Journal of Economics and Business Research, 18(1), 31-48.); - demographic and psychographic variables considered, procedures, difficulties faced, results obtained and opportunities for improvement - with questions based on the studies cited in Tables 2 and 3; - and importance for the company’s business and differentials in relation to the market as a whole, with questions based on Jakitas and Nascimento (2019Jakitas, R., & Nascimento, T. (2019, July 22). Com crise econômica, previdência privada vive momento de estagnação. https://economia.uol.com.br/noticias/estadao-conteudo/2019/07/22/com-crise-economica-previdencia-privada-vive-momento-de-estagnacao.htm
https://economia.uol.com.br/noticias/est...
). Additionally, there were also questions about the perception of the importance of this activity, about the practices adopted in the competition, the degree of maturity of this activity in the Brazilian market and in the interviewee’s company - with questions based on Deccax and Campani (2019Deccax, R. A., & Campani, C. H. (2019). Investor segmentation: how to improve current techniques by incorporating behavioural finance concepts?. International Journal of Economics and Business Research, 18(1), 31-48.) -; and the similarities and divergences between competitors and the interviewee’s own company, with questions based on the studies cited in Tables 2 and 3.

The choice of the five companies in the Brazilian private pension market to conduct this multiple case study was conducted jointly with Brasilprev, which provided financial and technical support for this research through the Brasilprev Chair in Private Pension. In this selection of this sample, the following criteria were used: representativeness of each company in each of the different relevant segments of the Brazilian private pension market; relevance (financially or in innovative practices) in this market as a whole; and accessibility (availability and interest in participating in the research).

The four selected companies (in addition to Brasilprev) were formally invited by email to participate voluntarily, which was facilitated by the relationship that already existed within the scope of the National Federation of Private Pension and Life (FenaPrevi). This invitation ensured confidentiality (the non-public identification of the executives interviewed) and the discussion of the results achieved, before its publication, between the researchers and the executives of the participating companies.

In-depth interviews were scheduled and conducted in person at the offices of the participating companies themselves. Interviews were conducted using the previously prepared script, making a total of 255.33 minutes of recording, and as summarized in Table 4.

Table 4
Interviews

The transcription of these interviews resulted in more than 42 thousand words that were analyzed using the Qualitative Content Analysis method and aiming to interpret the meaning of the content obtain ned (Hsieh and Shannon, 2005Hsieh, H. F., & Shannon, S. E. (2005). Three approaches to qualitative content analysis.Qualitative Health Research, 15(9), 1277-1288.). For this, the excerpts selected in the transcriptions were grouped by similarity and later coded considering the concepts previously extracted from the previous bibliographic review.

In the end, the results obtained were presented by the researchers and discussed in a joint face-to-face meeting with executives from all participating companies. The final product was refined, validated, deepened, and the results were expanded, which are presented in the following section.

4. RESULTS

The grouping of relevant excerpts from the interview transcripts and related aspects identified and explained by the interviewed executives resulted in 17 topics, of which four related to the private pension market as a whole and the remaining 13 to companies operating in the same sector, and belonging to the sample of this research (Tables 5 and 6):

Table 5
Topics and Aspects Relating to the Supplemental Retirement Market
Table 6
Topics and Aspects Relating to Supplemental Retirement Companies

The following table (Table 7) details the comparative analysis between the literature considered by this research and its empirical findings.

Table 7
Comparative Chart between Literature and Empirical Findings in this Study

From the results above, a much diversified panorama of potential and current customer segmentation practices emerges among the companies studied, with a predominantly incipient general maturity level, and with a clear lack of behavioral analysis of customers and of adequate understanding of their private pension needs. In addition, segmentation is relatively restricted to commercial and communication campaigns.

This is, in a way, surprising and incoherent, as the participating companies recognize the great importance of segmentation to make possible the differential treatment of current and potential customers and as something necessary to handle a more competitive market, more sophisticated and complex investments, and more demanding investors.

There are numerous and significant behavioral barriers present in potential and current clients, and recognized for the expansion of the retirement market, however these barriers are not being adequately addressed and mitigated by companies. On the other hand, there are several opportunities for action envisioned by these same companies to expand the retirement market and segmentation and other behavioral mechanisms are seen as tools to leverage the exploitation of the growth potential of this market.

The segmentation procedures adopted by the companies studied are varied, both in terms of the instruments used and the segmentation variables considered and in relation to their objectives and results. The main common aspect that stands out is the significant potential for improvement (and the actions that are seen as promising for this) and, therefore, for increasing customer acquisition, loyalty, and profitability. The challenges and difficulties are also expressive, contributing to the prevailing current scenario of using “standard treatment” for most potential and current customers.

5. CONCLUSIONS

The segmentation of individual investors, including in the private pension market, represents an activity of great relevance and potential for generating results, as demonstrated by the literature found and emphatically recognized by the executives interviewed.

There is a relative scarcity of articles and a disparity in approaches on this specific topic, both in relation to those documented by theory and those employed by the market. The fact that the research by Gough and Sozou (2005Gough, O., & Sozou, P. D. (2005). Pensions and retirement savings: cluster analysis of consumer behaviour and attitudes.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) was the only one found on segmentation of investors in retirement savings plans, coupled with the revelation in the interviews conducted that the level of maturity of market practices in Brazil today is perceived as among “incipient” and” intermediate”, reveals that there are opportunities for theoretical and practical improvement in this theme.

These opportunities for theoretical and practical improvement are corroborated by the discovery that both the literature and the market practices identified by this study employ in a limited way valuable and provenly pertinent concepts from the increasingly recognized area of ​​Behavioral Finance. The most promising one, due to its ability to synthesize vulnerability to a wide universe of heuristics and biases identified by that area, is that of “rationality” according to Stanovich’s (2011Stanovich, K. (2011).Rationality and the reflective mind. Oxford University Press.) precepts.

The significant behavioral barriers to the expansion of the retirement market recognized by the interviewed executives and evidenced by several studies cited in this article reinforce the deleterious practical effect in this market of heuristics and bias repeatedly confirmed by studies of Behavioral Finance in general. And, above all, they emphasize the need to use instruments in this area - such as those prescribed by Reyers et al. (2015Reyers, M., Van Schalkwyk, C. H., & Gouws, D. G. (2015). Rational and behavioural predictors of pre-retirement cash-outs.Journal of Economic Psychology, 47, 23-33.) and Mitchell and Utkus (2006Mitchell, O. S., & Utkus, S. P. (2006). How Behavioral Finance Can Inform Retirement Plan Design 1.Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 18(1), 82-94.) specifically for supplemental retirement - which has already had four academics awarded the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, the last of which (Richard H. Thaler, in 2017Thaler, R. H.; & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving Decisions about Health, Wealth, and Happiness, Yale University Press, New Haven.) is the author of the following phrase that reinforces the value and potential of these instruments: “The biggest lesson is that, as soon as a behavioral problem is perceived, it is possible to invent a behavioral solution for it”.

The bibliographic review conducted within the scope of this study and the relevant aspects of the supplemental retirement market in Brazil revealed by the interviews conducted constitute a powerful marker for proposing a new set of variables for segmenting current and potential individual investors in retirement savings plans. The analyzed literature shows that the use of a hybrid approach, combining psychographic and demographic characteristics, is the most promising.

This hybrid approach could materialize in a set of variables for segmentation that used the following variables obtained through a questionnaire designed for this specific purpose:

  • Demographic variables:

  1. Marital status;

  2. Gender;

  3. Age;

  4. Educational level;

  5. Academic training;

  6. Public and private pension in which you are currently a beneficiary or investor;

  7. History of consumption of financial products;

  8. Investment volume;

  9. Professional occupation; and

  10. Income level.

  • Psychographic variables:

  1. Behaviors and intentions, according to the concepts used by Gough and Sozou (2005Gough, O., & Sozou, P. D. (2005). Pensions and retirement savings: cluster analysis of consumer behaviour and attitudes.International Journal of Bank Marketing.);

  2. Financial knowledge about private pensions, according to the concepts used by Hauff (2014Hauff, J. C. (2014). Trust and risk-taking in a pension investment setting.The International Journal of Bank Marketing, 32(5), 408-428.);

  3. Risk aversion, according to the concepts employed by Hauff (2014Hauff, J. C. (2014). Trust and risk-taking in a pension investment setting.The International Journal of Bank Marketing, 32(5), 408-428.); and

  4. Rationality, measured by the Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT) proposed by Frederick (2005Frederick, S. (2005). Cognitive reflection and decision making.Journal of Economic Perspectives, 19(4), 25-42.).

This approach proposed here does not include the so-called “benefit segmentation” because the studies located - Minhas and Jacobs (1996Minhas, R. S., & Jacobs, E. M. (1996). Benefit segmentation by factor analysis: an improved method of targeting customers for financial services.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), Alfansi and Sargeant (2000Alfansi, L., & Sargeant, A. (2000). Market segmentation in the Indonesian banking sector: the relationship between demographics and desired customer benefits.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) and Machauer and Morgner (2001Machauer, A., & Morgner, S. (2001). Segmentation of bank customers by expected benefits and attitudes.International Journal of Bank Marketing.) - applied it to customers of banking products, with the “perceived benefits” considered and identified and are not applicable to the segmentation of investors in retirement savings plans. Minhas and Jacobs (1996Minhas, R. S., & Jacobs, E. M. (1996). Benefit segmentation by factor analysis: an improved method of targeting customers for financial services.International Journal of Bank Marketing.), for example, identified 8 “perceived benefits” - personalized services, investment, limited banking, affordable money, debit card, consulting, resource management and full banking - which are specific to banking products.

The natural continuity of this research is the development of a questionnaire in accordance with the above proposal and its application in a statistically representative sample and the analysis of the collected data through quantitative techniques. As a result, the major objective of producing a set of variables for segmentation that effectively contributes to the maturation of a market as relevant, economically, and socially, as that of supplemental retirement can be achieved.

The limitations of this study stem from its qualitative and exploratory nature, without aiming at generalizing the results obtained or identifying causal relationships. These objectives may be achieved, partially or totally, by future research, such as the one suggested above.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

Carlos Heitor Campani would like to thank the following Brazilian institutions for financial support to his research: Brasilprev Research Chair, ENS (Escola de Negócios e Seguros), CNPq (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development), FAPERJ (Fundação de Amparoà Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro), and Quantum Finance (Data Provider). Ronaldo Deccax would like to thank Brasilprev for the financial support that his research received through the Brasilprev Research Chair.

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  • ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

    This research obtained financial and technical support from the Brasilprev Chair in Private Pension and its two authors contributed equally, with author 1 contributing more prominently to its design and execution and author 2 more prominently in its review.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    25 Feb 2022
  • Date of issue
    Jan-Feb 2022

History

  • Received
    18 May 2020
  • Reviewed
    19 Aug 2020
  • Accepted
    22 Mar 2021
  • Published
    29 Nov 2021
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