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Was it Uruguay or coffee? The causes of the beef jerky industry's decline in southern Brazil (1850 - 1889)

Uruguai ou café? As causas do declínio da indústria do charque no sul do Brasil (1850-1889)

Abstract:

What caused the decline of beef jerky production in Brazil? The main sustenance for slaves, beef jerky was the most important industry in southern Brazil. Nevertheless, by 1850, producers were already worried that they could not compete with Uruguayan industry. Traditional interpretations attribute this decline to the differences in productivity between labor markets; indeed, Brazil utilized slave labor,whereas Uruguay had abolished slavery in 1842. Recent research also raises the possibility of a Brazilian "Dutch disease",which resulted from the coffee export boom. We test both hypotheses and argue that Brazilian production's decline was associated with structural changes in demand for low-quality meat. Trade protection policies created disincentives for Brazilian producers to increase productivity and diversify its cattle industry.

Keywords:
Brazilian slavery; Dutch disease; Uruguay trade

Resumo:

O que causou o declínio da produção de charque no Brasil? Sendo o principal alimento dos escravos, o charque era a indústria mais importante do sul do Brasil. No entanto, em 1850, produtores estavam preocupados porque não conseguiam competir com a indústria uruguaia. Interpretações tradicionais atribuem o declínio a diferenças em produtividade entre os mercados de trabalho; pois enquanto o Brasil utilizava trabalho escravo, o Uruguai havia abolido a escravidão em 1842. Pesquisas recentes também levantam a possibilidade de uma "doença holandesa" no Brasil, decorrente do forte crescimento nas exportações de café. Ambas hipóteses são testadas e argumenta-se que o declínio da produção brasileira foi associado a mudanças estruturais na demanda por carne de baixa qualidade. Políticas de proteção comercial criaram desincentivos para os produtores brasileiros aumentarem a produtividade e diversificar a indústria de carne.

Palavras-chave:
doença holandesa; escravidão no Brasil; comércio do Uruguai

1. Introduction

The cattle industry was the most important economic sector in southern Brazil during the nineteenth century. Beef jerky (charque) served as the main source of nourishment for enslaved laborers who worked on coffee and sugar cane plantations. Furthermore, between 1845 and 1889, it represented on average 70.5percent of Rio Grande do Sul province's exports, along with hides (FEE, 2004FEE. As Relações de Comércio do Rio Grande do Sul - do século XIX a 1930. Porto Alegre, Outubro, 2004.). After the 1850s, nevertheless, local cattle ranchers and beef jerky exporters could not compete with Uruguayan production (Cardoso, 2003CARDOSO, Fernando Henrique. Capitalismo e Escravidão no Brasil Meridional. Rio de Janeiro: Civilização Brasileira, 2003., p.204; Bell, 1998BELL, Stephen. Campanha Gaúcha: A Brazilian Ranching System, 1850 - 1920. Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1998., p.79). This paper explores why the Brazilian beef jerky industry lagged behind despite the fact that Brazil had the largest slave population in the Americas after 1850.

Traditional interpretations attributed the lack of competitiveness to labor markets. These analyses credited as explanations for the stagnation in production differences in productivity between slave labor in Rio Grande do Sul and wage labor in Uruguay, as well as rising slave prices after the end of the transatlantic slave trade in 1850. Monasterio (2005MONASTERIO, L. M. FHC errou? A economia da escravidão no Brasil meridional. História e Economia. v. 1, n. 1 - 2º semestre, 2005.), however, refuted the hypothesis that the use of slave labor was inefficient; he argued that captives represented a lower cost than wage labor for beef jerky production. Monasterio raised an alternative hypothesis, suggesting that the coffee export boom damaged the southern industry through a "Dutch disease": the real exchange rate appreciation caused by the soaring coffee exports raised Brazilian charque prices, making them less competitive against foreign competition.

Rio Grande do Sul is located at the Uruguayan border, and both regions have similar geographical endowments. These regions also shared similar transport costs to the Brazilian main markets of Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo. Since Brazil did not have integrated coastal railways, mules and coastal ships were used for transport (Summerhill, 2003SUMMERHILL, William. Order Against Progress. Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2003.). This paper argues that production costs, represented by the price of slave labor, were not responsible for the beef jerky industry's decline. While Brazilian exchange rate appreciation had a short-term impact on Rio Grande do Sul's industry competitiveness, quantitative analysis shows that it cannot be used as a long-term explanation for the sector's decline. The Brazilian industry's decline can be understood though an examination of the structural changes in meat production on the other side of the border, which resulted from an increase in demand for meat products of higher quality than those used to make beef jerky.

The increased integration of Latin America into the world economy in the second half of the nineteenth century is well known (O'Rourke; Williamson, 1999O'ROURKE, Kevin; WILLAMSON, Jeffrey. Globalization and History. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1999.), but the impact of the first globalization on peripheral industries has yet to be thoroughly explored. Uruguay's growth did not primarily arise out of increasing exports of beef jerky to Brazil; rather, its success resulted from the diversification of its exports. Regional military conflicts, especially the Paraguayan War (1864-1870) - also known as the War of the Triple Alliance - led to an increased demand for products that could be conditioned, such as canned beef. Moreover, shifting external demands from European markets created incentives to diversify production in Uruguay, which did not have a substantial internal market for its products. Brazilian producers, however, received a different set of incentives. With tariff protection offered by the government and a guaranteed market for its product, the southern Brazilian beef jerky industry did not have incentives to exchange their modes of production for more high-quality meats, since it would face international competition. Low wages in Brazil would make high-quality meat production unprofitable if producers relied solely on internal markets. Another important aspect of the Brazilian and Uruguayan cattle industries' different approaches involved the supply of new technology. Uruguay's modernization was built with British foreign capital. Southern Brazil, in the absence of foreign investments, lacked access to financial institutions that could make such modernization possible.

2. Beef jerky exports in Rio Grande Do Sul

The Pampas, a biome that covers the south of Rio Grande do Sul and all of Uruguay, was an appropriate place for cattle herding and beef jerky production. The Province's Presidential Report from 1858 reveals the border proximity between cattle farms in Uruguay and Rio Grande do Sul. According to President Silva Ferraz, in 1857, 81,427 cattle entered the Province from Uruguay, while 103,635 crossed the border in the opposite direction. This statistic exposes the intensity in livestock movement; for the same year, 40,279 cattle were used for meat consumption (carne verde) and 365,508 animals were used to produce beef jerky (Provincial Presidential Report, 1857, p.35).1 1 From the same Report, each animal resulted in 4 arrobas of beef jerky. Regarding beef jerky production in Rio Grande do Sul, as can be seen in Table 1, the majority of exports went to other ports in Brazil, such as Rio de Janeiro and Pernambuco, to feed slaves that worked at the coffee and sugar cane plantations. Exports to ports in Europe, as Spain, Italy, and Portugal, represented a small portion of production.2 2 Data from Table 1 are the values declared by the tree most important custom houses, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande and São José do Norte, and do not represent all of the province's production.

Table 1:
Destination of Rio Grande do Sul beef jerky exports (arrobas)

Notwithstanding the complaints from local producers quoted by Cardoso (2003CARDOSO, Fernando Henrique. Capitalismo e Escravidão no Brasil Meridional. Rio de Janeiro: Civilização Brasileira, 2003.) and Bell (1998BELL, Stephen. Campanha Gaúcha: A Brazilian Ranching System, 1850 - 1920. Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1998.), two major political conflicts benefited Rio Grande do Sul's beef jerky industry at the beginning of the 1850s. The first conflict emerged at the end of the Farroupilha Civil War (1835-1845), which occurred as a result of claims surrounding unfair external competition. The revolutionaries, associated with the Brazilian cattle industry, criticized the high taxes applied to their product by the Customs House, which the products from Uruguay and Argentina were exempt from (Padoin, 2006PADOIN, Maria Medianeira. A Revolução Farroupilha. In: PICCOLO, Helga I. L; PADOIN, M. M. História Geral do Rio Grande do Sul. Vol.2: Império. Passo Fundo: Méritos, 2006.). As an agreement to end the conflict, the imperial government taxed imports of foreign beef jerky at 25 percent (Pesavento,1980PESAVENTO, Sandra. História do Rio Grande do Sul. Porto Alegre: Movimento, 1980.).

Despite the 1851 tax increase, the legislative assembly of Rio Grande do Sul urged the Emperor to raise taxes again on foreign beef jerky to 40 percent. Their argument was that the taxes on salt - used extensively on beef jerky and tannery production - made the local production uncompetitive (Correio Mercantil..., 1851aCorreio Mercantil, e Instructivo, Político, Universal, 1851a ed 1., p.2). Since the 30 percent tax on salt was an important source of revenue, the government was not receptive to the idea. Further, the demand for an increased tax on foreign beef jerky conflicted with plantation owners that used slave labor. In an editorial called "The Demands of Southern Friends", published in a Rio de Janeiro newspaper, beef jerky producers were criticized for their demands which, if met, would raise agricultural production costs in other provinces (Correio Mercantil..., 1851bCorreio Mercantil, e Instructivo, Político, Universal, 1851b ed 4., p.1).

This conflict of interest between provinces led to frequent articles in southern newspapers regarding the need to diversify Rio Grande do Sul's industry. In 1851, O Rio-Grandense called for a change in meat production. It argued that, since the port in Rio Grande was frequented by "hundreds of foreign vessels" with foreigners who were not "accustomed to beef jerky", the province was losing economic opportunities. By focusing on a method of production that demanded an "insane amount of work", the newspaper article stated that beef jerky used too much of the available slave workforce (O Rio-Grandense, 1851O Rio-Grandense, 1851. , p.3).

While concern with the main export product increased in Rio Grande do Sul, another regional conflict gave a renewed advantage to the Brazilian beef jerky industry. Uruguay's Guerra Grande (1839-1852), which took place between the Blanco and Colorado political parties, caused disorganization of Uruguayan industry (Bell, 1998BELL, Stephen. Campanha Gaúcha: A Brazilian Ranching System, 1850 - 1920. Stanford: Stanford University Press, 1998.). Despite a decrease in Rio Grande do Sul's cattle supply during the conflict, due to the Uruguayan government's apprehension of herds and an increase in livestock mortality, Brazilian cattlemen benefited from an almost complete halt in Uruguayan production (Farinatti, 2008FARINATTI, Luís Augusto. Os grandes estancieiros e além: criadores de gado na fronteira meridional do Brasil (Alegrete, 1831-1970). História Econômica & História de Empresas, XI. 1, pp. 91-117, 2008.).

The Guerra Grande came to an end with the support of the Brazilian government, which offered protection against new assaults from the Argentine commander J.M. de Rosas. Debilitated by several years of conflict, Uruguay had to accept Brazil's demands, which were spelled out in the postwar treaty of 1851, and included Montevideo's occupation by the Imperial army in 1853 (Souza; Prado, 2002SOUZA, Susana Bleil de; PRADO, Fabrício Pereira. Brasileiros na Fronteira Uruguaia: Economia e Política no Século XIX. In: GUAZELLI; NEUMANN; KUHN;GRIJÓ (Org.).História do Rio Grande do Sul: Texto e Pesquisa. Porto Alegre: Editora da UFRGS, 2002.). According to Santos (1987SANTOS, Corcino Medeiros dos. Mauá e a influência brasileira no Rio da Prata. Revista de História da América. 104 (Jul-Dec), pp.31-64, 1987., p.41), as a way to increase Brazil's economic influence in the region, the Imperial government had as an objective to impair the cattle industry in Uruguay. The treaty raised import taxes even more, enhanced property rights for the Brazilian estancieiros that had lands across the border, and established that cattle from Uruguay would not pay taxes when they entered Brazilian territory, thus offering a cheap cattle supply to Brazilian beef jerky producers (Pesavento, 1980PESAVENTO, Sandra. República Velha gaúcha: Charqueadas, frigoríficos e criadores. Porto Alegre: Movimento , 1980a.a, p. 29).The country's border with Brazil was considered an "Imperial economic and social appendix", with a great number of Brazilian cattle ranchers who used slave labor, regardless of the Uruguayan abolition in 1842 (Souza; Prado, 2002SOUZA, Susana Bleil de; PRADO, Fabrício Pereira. Brasileiros na Fronteira Uruguaia: Economia e Política no Século XIX. In: GUAZELLI; NEUMANN; KUHN;GRIJÓ (Org.).História do Rio Grande do Sul: Texto e Pesquisa. Porto Alegre: Editora da UFRGS, 2002., p.2).

Figure 1 shows the beneficial impact of the Imperial government's policies surrounding beef jerky production in Rio Grande do Sul, which resulted in a steady increase in exports after 1851. Until the end of the Paraguayan War in March 1870, the Brazilian beef jerky industry benefited from its protectionist advantage over Uruguayan production. It is important to note that, according to the Province's President Israel Rodrigues Barcellos, the sharp drop in exports shown in 1869 was due to heavy rains that destroyed major roads leading to slaughterhouses (Provincial Presidential Report, 1869Provincial Presidential Reports (1830-1930). Center for Research Libraries - Global Resources Network. Available at http://www-apps.crl.edu/brazil/provincial.
http://www-apps.crl.edu/brazil/provincia...
, p.5). Since beef jerky production sites were located in cities near the east coast, such as Pelotas, and cattle were raised in cities at the border of Uruguay, a disruption on the roads could paralyze production. Also, in 1870, pastures in Rio Grande do Sul were ravaged by a foreign herb (epazote) that had already caused damage in Uruguay and Argentina (Diário do Rio de Janeiro, 1870Diário do Rio de Janeiro, 1860-1872., ed. 167, p.2). The beef jerky export data shows that the industry's stagnation began after 1870. In 1872, the Rio Grande Business Association financed some studies to understand the problems facing the industry (Cardoso, 2003CARDOSO, Fernando Henrique. Capitalismo e Escravidão no Brasil Meridional. Rio de Janeiro: Civilização Brasileira, 2003., p.214). Again, taxes were to blame for the lack of competitiveness.

Figure 1:
Rio Grande do Sul beef jerky exports (tons)

Even in the 1860s, however, a decade with increasing growth in exports, Rio Grande do Sul production lagged behind when compared to Uruguay. According to a commercial Rio de Janeiro newspaper, there was some concern in 1865 regarding the quality of Rio Grande do Sul beef jerky. People preferred the Rio de la Plata product, and it had "taken over the markets of Rio de Janeiro" (Diário do Rio de Janeiro, 1865Diário do Rio de Janeiro, 1860-1872., ed.8, p.3). Brazilian beef jerky still had a better market share in Bahia, but the newspaper article stated that it was facing increasing competition from Uruguay there as well. Data from Rio de Janeiro newspapers show that despite similar prices, Uruguay's beef jerky already dominated the most important Brazilian market by the 1860s. Table 2 presents data with prices (réis) and beef jerky stocks (arrobas) from newspapers for the first week of each year presented. This data should not be interpreted as an average price for the whole year, but it gives information about differences in prices from both regions. Using data from the beginning of each year also makes it possible to compare the stocks available for each product at the end of the previous year.

Table 2:
Prices and stocks of beef jerky in Rio de Janeiro

At the beginning of the 1870s, the Free Womb Law (Ventre Livre) eliminated the last source of slave supply and limited the future of beef jerky production (Bethell, 1970BETHELL, Leslie. The Abolition of the Brazilian Slave Trade. Britain Brazil and the Slave Trade Question 1807-1869. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1970.). An increase in demand was unlikely; the slave population was in decline throughout the country and had decreased by approximately 45percent in coffee plantation areas between 1872 and 1887 (Luna; Klein, 2010LUNA, Francisco Vidal; KLEIN, Herbert. Escravismo no Brasil. São Paulo: Edusp, 2010., p.320). Further, the immigrants who replaced slave labor did not consume dried meat (Holloway, 1980HOLLOWAY, Thomas. Immigrants on the Land. The University of North Carolina Press, 1980.). Following the 1888 abolition of slavery in Brazil, beef jerky production continued its slow decay. Yet, at the beginning of the twentieth century, the sector remained relevant at the regional level. In 1909, Álvaro Baptista, Finance Minister of Rio Grande do Sul, deplored the inability of the region to move away from an industry that would inevitably disappear (Fonseca, 1983FONSECA, Pedro. RS: Economia e Conflitos Políticos na República Velha. Porto Alegre: Mercado Aberto, 1983.).

3. Meat exports in Uruguay

The political and economic disorganization of Uruguay, which resulted from constant wars and bad commercial treaties, came to a halt in 1856 (Rock, 2000ROCK, David. State-Building and Political Systems in Nineteenth-Century Argentina and Uruguay. Past&Present, 167 (May), pp. 176-202, 2000.). From that period until 1865, Blanco's and Colorado's head politicians tried to come together in order to create a national awareness and condemn the country's past submission to foreign countries (Casal, 2004CASAL, Juan Manuel. Uruguay and the Paraguayan War. In: KRAAY, H.; WHIGHAM, T. L. I Die with My Country. Perspectives on the Paraguayan War, 1864-1870. University of Nebraska Press, 2004.). However, with or without political conflicts, Uruguay's economy was heavily reliant on international trade (Barran; Nahum, 1984BARRÁN, José Pedro; NAHUM, Benjamín. Uruguayan Rural History. The Hispanic American Historical Review, 64 (4), pp. 655-673, 1984.).Unlike Rio Grande do Sul, which had a large market in other Brazilian provinces, Uruguay depended on foreign markets.

After 1860, due to the 1851 treaty and changes in global demand, the beef jerky industry started losing its relevance in Uruguayan exports. Also, as a consequence of the United States Civil War (1861-1865), Uruguayan exporters had the opportunity to diversify by increasing wool production, since the country was one of few regions in the world where bovine and ovine cattle shared the same territory. The United States was the main cotton supplier to Europe's textile industry, and it faced an abrupt decline in production during the war years. This slowdown heightened the demand for cotton from other regions, and it also allowed for cotton substitutes, such as wool, to enter the market (Barran; Nahum, 1967BARRÁN, José Pedro; NAHUM, Benjamín. Uruguayan Rural History. The Hispanic American Historical Review, 64 (4), pp. 655-673, 1984.; 1984).

Within a decade (1860-1870), the wool industry established itself as one of the major economic sectors in Uruguay, enabling the rise of medium-sized estancieiros and making ovines more sought after among cattle raisers. Cattle diversification, however, did not happen for the Brazilian estancieiros located north of the Rio Negro (Farinatti, 2008FARINATTI, Luís Augusto. Os grandes estancieiros e além: criadores de gado na fronteira meridional do Brasil (Alegrete, 1831-1970). História Econômica & História de Empresas, XI. 1, pp. 91-117, 2008., p.103). Since the treaties guaranteed better gains from selling bovine cattle, estancieiros in Brazil continued their extensive breeding programs that were geared toward the beef jerky industry in Rio Grande do Sul. The favorable economic scenario in Uruguay resulting from wool exports lasted until the end of the North American conflict. At this point markets normalized once again, and the United States instituted the Morrill Tariff, a protection against foreign wool. Thus, the Uruguayan wool sector lost a great deal of its market. According to a contemporary writer, in the 1870s higher land prices and labor wages represented the end of easy money for sheep farmers (Burton, 1870BURTON, Captain Richard F. Letters from the Battle-fields of Paraguay. London: Tinsley Brothers. Acervo da Brasiliana Digital USP, 1870., p.88).

Uruguay's prosperous years led to the perception in the literature that, beginning in 1860, estancias acquired a modern vision, with innovative technologies coming from social groups with a "clear capitalist project" (Minello, 1977MINELLO, Nelson. Uruguay: la consolidación del Estado militar. Revista Mexicana de Sociología, 39 (2), pp. 575-594, 1977., p.578). Nevertheless, that capitalist project seems to have come from a greater availability of resources from the 1860s economic boom, as the increased need for leather and wool offered incentives to invest in steam machinery that would draw out animal grease and improve productivity.

An example of the shift in market demand came in 1862 with the first meat extract factory in the Prata region, established by a Belgian company. Located in the city of Fray Bentos, in a place previously used as a slaughterhouse (or saladero), the factory was sold to a British company in 1866, giving birth to the Liebig's Extract of Meat Company. Anglo-Irish traveler Thomas J. Hutchinson visited the factory in 1867, and his first impression was that Liebig's was unlike other saladeros that he had seen; he stated: "The general atmosphere, about the engine-house particularly, being suggestive of rich beef-gravy" (Hutchinson, 1868HUTCHINSON, Thomas J. The Paraná; with Incidents of the Paraguayan War, and South American Recollections, from 1861 to 1868. London: Edward Stanford. Acervo da Brasiliana Digital USP, 1868., p.411).Hutchinson reported that each animal produced ten pounds (4.5kg) of meat extract and that the factory had the capacity to produce 250 pounds (114kg) per day. Nonetheless, this level of production still did not meet European demand, which was four times greater (Hutchinson, 1868, p.412).

Another writer who visited Liebig's was an Italian, Antonio Gallenga. In a book recounting his voyage through South America, he described the "famous" English company and its £500,000 capital. According to Gallenga, during the summer months, when the cattle was heavier, herds would arrive from great distances - sometimes from more than 100 miles away - and a thousand would be slaughtered per day on average. With 550 employees, mainly Bascos, the factory slaughtered around 80 animals per hour, and "nothing was wasted". Gallenga's estimates of Liebig's revenue revealed that the company had annual profits of £81,000, and it used 6,000 tons of coal and around 128,000 pounds of salt (Gallenga, 1881GALLENGA, Antonio. South America. London: Chapman and Hall. Acervo da Brasiliana Digital USP, 1881. , p.300). Like Hutchinson, Gallenga also noticed the cleanness of Liebig's in comparison to other saladeros. The Italian described one instance of visiting a regular saladero, in which the host family gave him a tour. He explained that no one seemed bothered by the amount of blood and animal remains in the area; following the visit, he detailed, "We went back to the breakfast-room, the dwelling-house being so close to the saladero that the flies would not have allowed us to eat in peace for one moment" (Gallenga, 1880, p.301).

The information about infrastructural differences between Liebig's and regular saladeros shows the importance of meat extract to Uruguay's exports. This extract had higher added value than beef jerky and could be easily shipped to distant markets. Further, this situation created incentives to increase export diversification, reducing the market importance for beef jerky.3 3 Nevertheless, meat extract still did not have the same appeal as fresh meat: "[...] except for the war years, when a large demand for this kind of meat (canned and tasajo) for the armies existed, the exports have been small. The canning plants must give way, as the cattle industry improves, to the modern packing plants which turn out the higher grades of meat" (Jones, 1927, p.366).

The increase in export diversification was also reinforced by another regional conflict. Even with the favorable economic conditions and no political conflicts after the pact between the Blancos and Colorados in 1856, confrontation between the parties resurfaced as a result of geopolitical tension in the years leading up to the Paraguayan War. Once more Brazil interfered giving support to Colorado's party president Venancio Flores against the Blanco party, which had the support of the Paraguayan Marshal Solano López. One reason for Brazil's intervention was the constant territorial disputes in a region that housed several Brazilian cattle ranchers (Moraes, 2008MORAES, Maria I. La pradera perdida. Historia y economia del agro uruguayo: una visión de largo plazo, 1760-1970. Montevideo: Linardi&Risso, 2008.).4 4 According to Moraes (2008, p.76), in the Minas department, Brazilians were the largest foreign-born owners of cattle raising estancias. With Argentina and Paraguay supporting different parties, Brazil had to make a statement and sent in terrestrial forces commanded by the Baron of Tamandaré (Casal, 2004CASAL, Juan Manuel. Uruguay and the Paraguayan War. In: KRAAY, H.; WHIGHAM, T. L. I Die with My Country. Perspectives on the Paraguayan War, 1864-1870. University of Nebraska Press, 2004.).

Brazil used border areas as a base for war operations and its monthly subsidy to its Oriental Division caused a rapid economic expansion in Uruguay from 1865 to 1868: "The incoming gold allowed Montevideo entrepreneurs to establish new navigation, railroad, telegraph, and building companies as well as new steam factories, new banks, credit brokers, and even mining operations" (Casal, 2004CASAL, Juan Manuel. Uruguay and the Paraguayan War. In: KRAAY, H.; WHIGHAM, T. L. I Die with My Country. Perspectives on the Paraguayan War, 1864-1870. University of Nebraska Press, 2004., p.137). The artificial growth increased livestock and meat extract sales, causing land and cattle prices to rise. The high profit rates led banks to increase credit lines, making investments possible on the first meat refrigerated storages. Growth came to a sudden halt only in 1868, when the inflow of Brazilian gold ended as the war drew to a close (Casal, 2004).

Despite the increase in production during the Paraguayan War, Uruguay did not increase its bovine meat supply to external markets because low-quality meat had only limited demand internationally. European consumers, especially the British, rejected beef jerky (Minello, 1977MINELLO, Nelson. Uruguay: la consolidación del Estado militar. Revista Mexicana de Sociología, 39 (2), pp. 575-594, 1977., p. 580). Seen as food for slaves in Brazil and Cuba, accounts report that "its appearance to Europeans [was] absolutely offensive" (Newcastle Courant, Sep, 1866Newcastle Courant, Friday, September 14, 1866 p.3. , p.3). According to contemporaneous newspapers:

Some five hundred or six hundred different experiments have been made to cure South American beef so as to make it a marketable article in Europe; but no real success has as yet attended the efforts. The meat [charque] as forwarded has been refused by the working classes in England, and rejected by the French navy (Dublin Evening Mail, Jun, 1869Dublin Evening Mail - Saturday 26 June 1869.).

Before refrigeration, the second half of the nineteenth century witnessed several attempts to transport meat from South America to Europe that did not involve dried salted beef. Besides Baron Liebig's meat extract, used in military endeavors and in European hospitals, other methods tried to preserve meat in its raw form. One of them, called Sloper's process, packed the meat in tins and preserved it by the introduction of "a certain gas the composition of which is kept a profound secret". Morgan Patent Meat Preserving Company, a Liverpool Company based in Uruguay, used a method that involved "forced infiltration of brine into all the tissues of the animal immediately after death". In another attempt to develop a method of meat preservation, the Pharmaceutical Society of London developed a process in which fresh meat was immersed in melted paraffin (Newcastle Courant, Sep 14, 1866Newcastle Courant, Friday, September 14, 1866 p.3. , p.3). Using data from the British Ledgers of ImportsLedgers of Imports under Countries (CUST 4), British National Archives., Figure 2 shows the increase in meat exports from Uruguay after 1870 that did not involve salting. Millot and Bertino (1996MILLOT, Julio; BERTINO, Magdalena. Historia Economica Del Uruguay. Tomo II, Fundacion de Cultura Universitaria, 1996., p.170) also show that the meat industry in Uruguay steadily increased from 1875 until the end of the century.

Figure 2:
Uruguay's exports of preserved meat otherwise than by salting, 1850-1889 (cwt)

The increase in demand for non-salted meat in Europe did not affect only the Plata region. By the end of the 1860s, refrigerated meat was shipped across the United States and had begun to reach European markets (Timmons, 2005TIMMONS, Todd. Science and Technology in Nineteenth-Century America. Greenwood Press, 2005.; Wade, 2003WADE, Louise C. Chicago's Pride. The Stockyards, Packingtonwn, and Environs in the Nineteenth Century. Chicago: University of Illinois Press, 2003.).Indeed, the business of hermetically sealed packing for meats and vegetables was flourishing in states like Maine (Bath Chronicle and Weekly Gazette, Sep, 1866Bath Chronicle and Weekly Gazette - Thursday 13 September 1866.). The increase in North American production, achieved through a series of labor-saving devices, sought to take advantage of all cattle parts. The "jerked beef" produced in Chicago was sold to impoverished workers in the West Indies, and it was made of parts that had been previously disposed, such as necks and shanks (Wade, 2003WADE, Louise C. Chicago's Pride. The Stockyards, Packingtonwn, and Environs in the Nineteenth Century. Chicago: University of Illinois Press, 2003., p.8). Likewise, Uruguay managed to increase its exports of low-quality meat after the 1870s to Brazil partially by the increase in production of better quality meat for European markets.5 5 According to Hutchinson (1868), "Only in Brazil and Cuba, where it is bought on account of its cheapness to feed the slaves, has this charqui ever been a marketable article." According to Millot and Bertino (1996MILLOT, Julio; BERTINO, Magdalena. Historia Economica Del Uruguay. Tomo II, Fundacion de Cultura Universitaria, 1996., p.169), Uruguay's beef jerky industry peaked in 1863, when other industries involving cattle began to rise.

Bovine livestock increased in Uruguay between 1852 and 1900 from 1,800,000 to 6,800,000, whereas the growth in sheep was from 796,000 to 18,608,000 (Jones, 1927JONES, Clarence F. The Trade of Uruguay. Economic Geography. 3 (3), p..361-381, 1927.).While these figures highlight the difference in growth between bovine and ovine cattle, it should be noted that the figures for 1852 represent a low point in the number of livestock, given this was the period of the Guerra Grande. The main point is that the production of low quality meat decreased throughout the years. From 1921 to 1923, for example, beef jerky represented only five percent of the Uruguay's commodity exports (Jones, 1927).Meanwhile, for Rio Grande do Sul, the average production of low-quality meat was 20.8 percent (FEE, 2004FEE. As Relações de Comércio do Rio Grande do Sul - do século XIX a 1930. Porto Alegre, Outubro, 2004.). Higher quality meat, such as refrigerated (7 percent), frozen (14 percent), and canned (7 percent), left beef jerky behind as a displaced product in the Uruguayan Republic (Finch, 2005FINCH, Henry. La economía política del Uruguay contemporáneo,1870-2000. Montevideo: Ediciones de la Banda Oriental, 2005.). On the other hand, Rio Grande do Sul exported only 0.33 percent of canned meat and 5.33 percent of packed meat. Economic backwardness can be verified by comparing the dates in which packinghouses were established in both regions: Frigorifica Uruguai, in 1905, and the first in Rio Grande do Sul, in 1918 (Jones, 1927).

4. Interpretations for the Brazilian industry's decline

Despite differences in fiscal incentives and access to foreign capital between Rio Grande do Sul and Uruguay, characterization of slave labor as "noneconomic" remains an important explanation for why Rio Grande do Sul could not compete with Uruguay, which increasingly used free labor after the 1840s (Borucki et al, 2004BORUCKI, Alex; CHAGAS, Karla; STALLA, Natalia. Esclavitud y Trabajo. Unestudio sobre los afrodescendientes en la frontera uruguaya 1835-1855. Montevideo: Ed. Pulmón, 2004.). The use of a less productive labor force, the "irrationality hypothesis", was defended by several authors, such as Corsetti (1983CORSETTI, Berenice. Estudo da charqueada escravista gaúcha no século XIX. Dissertação (Mestrado em História) - Departamento de História, UFF, Niterói, 1983.), Cardoso (2003CARDOSO, Fernando Henrique. Capitalismo e Escravidão no Brasil Meridional. Rio de Janeiro: Civilização Brasileira, 2003.), and Pesavento (1980PESAVENTO, Sandra. História do Rio Grande do Sul. Porto Alegre: Movimento, 1980.). Authors such as Décio Freitas (1980FREITAS, Décio. O Capitalismo Pastoril. Porto Alegre: Escola Superior São Lourenço de Brindes, 1980. , p.35) argued that nothing could be more "anti-economic" than slave labor. There are two common reasons for this kind of argument: the notion that restricted labor division resulted in lower productivity; and the idea that the constant vigilance necessary when using slave labor was more expensive than employing free workers. Also, flexibility in wage labor markets allowed for the reduction of workers during economic slowdowns (Cardoso, 2003).

Costs became increasingly important after the 1860s when, according to Pesavento (1980PESAVENTO, Sandra. História do Rio Grande do Sul. Porto Alegre: Movimento, 1980.), the saladero platino began to modernize its industry.6 6 Recent estimates confirm the high growth in the livestock industry during the period related to the first globalization era (1870-1913) (Moraes, 2008, p.101). Rising slave prices after the end of slave trade in 1850 represented an important increase in costs for Brazilian production. Figure 3 shows the prices for male slaves, between 20 and 29 years old, who worked with beef jerky production in Rio Grande do Sul. With the sudden stop in labor supply, European immigration policies became one of the main concerns for Brazilian politicians (Carvalho, 2010CARVALHO, José Murilo de. Teatro das Sombras. A Política Imperial. Rio de Janeiro: Civilização Brasileira, 2010.; Skidmore, 1974SKIDMORE, Thomas. Black into White. Race and Nationality in Brazilian Thought. New York: Oxford University Press , 1974.). Contemporary authors, such as the Italian researcher G. B. Marchesini, stated that the "recent experience" with foreign labor in Brazil made it clear that "free labor [was] more productive in any culture" (Marchesini, 1877MARCHESINI, G. B. Il Brasile e Le sue Colonie Agricole. Roma: Tipografia Barbera. Acervo da Brasiliana Digital USP, 1877., p.76).7 7 Many contemporary Brazilian authors and politicians quoted European authors like Adam Smith on the benefits of free labor: "The experience of all ages and nations, I believe, demonstrates that the work done by slaves, though it appears to cost only their maintenance, is in the end the dearest of any. A person who can acquire no property, can have no other interest but to eat as much, and to labour as little as possible" (Smith, [1776] 2007, p.252).

Figure 3:
Average male slave prices (mil-reis)

The view of slave labor as less productive than free labor remained practically uncontested until the work of Conrad and Meyers (1958CONRAD, Alfred. H.; MEYER, John R. The Economics of Slavery in the Antebellum South. The Journal of Political Economy, 26 (2), pp. 95-130, 1958.). Afterwards, Fogel and Engerman (1989FOGEL, Robert; ENGERMAN, Stanley. Time on the Cross. The Economics of American Negro Slavery. Nova York: Norton, 1989.) also provided evidence that captive labor had been even more productive than wage labor in some circumstances, and that the reason for slave use in the United States southern plantations was economic, not only cultural. For Brazil, Mello (1978MELLO, Pedro Carvalho. Aspectos Econômicos da Organização do Trabalho da Economia Cafeeira do Rio de Janeiro. Revista Brasileira de Economia , 32 (1), pp. 19-68, 1978.) and Versiani (1994VERSIANI, Flávio. Brazilian Slavery: toward an economic analysis. Revista Brasileira de Economia , 48 (4), p. 463-77, 1994.) also raised questions about captive labor economic inferiority despite the absence of data to compare all labor costs related to free labor, which was mainly represented by immigrants. By the end of the 1870s, Rio Grande do Sul already had a strong presence of foreigners, not only at agricultural colonies but also in urban areas (Trento, 1989TRENTO, Angelo. Do Outro Lado do Atlântico. Um século de imigração italiana no Brasil. São Paulo: Editora Nobel, 1989.). Nevertheless, the only connection they had with the beef jerky industry was through the production and selling of hides to external markets.8 8 Quadro Estatístico e Geográfico da Província de S. Pedro do Rio Grande do Sul, p.81, 1868. Enslaved people were still largely used in the most prosperous economic regions of Rio Grande do Sul and, as Cardoso explained, "The charqueadores, who were supposed to be the more ardent defenders of abolition, remained proslavery until the end" (Cardoso, 2003CARDOSO, Fernando Henrique. Capitalismo e Escravidão no Brasil Meridional. Rio de Janeiro: Civilização Brasileira, 2003., p.257).

Monasterio (2003MONASTERIO, L. M. A decadência das charqueadas gaúchas no século XIX: uma nova explicação. In: VIII Encontro Nacional de Economia Política, Florianópolis, 2003. Anais do VIII Encontro Nacional de Economia Política. Florianópolis: SEP, 2003.; 2005) also provides evidence that slave use at the charqueadas was rational and operated at a lower cost than free labor. He makes reference to the unsuccessful attempts to introduce the "platine system" in Rio Grande do Sul. During the Paraguayan War, there are records of attempts to send prisoners and Paraguayan children to work at the saladeros, to lower industry wages (Casal, 2004CASAL, Juan Manuel. Uruguay and the Paraguayan War. In: KRAAY, H.; WHIGHAM, T. L. I Die with My Country. Perspectives on the Paraguayan War, 1864-1870. University of Nebraska Press, 2004., p.131-35). Another reason for the high costs of wages in Uruguay's saladeros had to do with the end of the Commerce Treaty with Brazil in 1861,due to protests of unfair competition by President Bernardo Berro. The president prohibited long-term work contracts between Brazilians and "citizens of color" due to the possibility of using slaves, who "represented half of the wages from a Uruguayan rural worker" (Souza; Prado, 2002SOUZA, Susana Bleil de; PRADO, Fabrício Pereira. Brasileiros na Fronteira Uruguaia: Economia e Política no Século XIX. In: GUAZELLI; NEUMANN; KUHN;GRIJÓ (Org.).História do Rio Grande do Sul: Texto e Pesquisa. Porto Alegre: Editora da UFRGS, 2002., p.16).

Another potential cost for those involved with the charque industry was the possibility of revolts and runaways. Indeed, production sites and the cattle-herding region (campanha) were near the Uruguayan border, where slavery was illegal. This proximity led authors like Luiz Targa and Décio Freitas to assert that slave use was not possible in the cattle-herding region (Nogueról et al, 2007NOGUERÓL, L. P. F.; MIGOWSKI, V.; DIAS, M. S.; RODRIGUES, D.; PINTO, M. S. Elementos da Escravidão do Rio Grande do Sul: a lida com o gado e o seguro contra a fuga na fronteira com o Uruguai. In: XXXV ENCONTRO NACIONAL DE ECONOMIA, 2007, Recife - PE. Anais do XXXV Encontro Nacional de Economia, 2007., p.13). Versiani (1994VERSIANI, Flávio. Brazilian Slavery: toward an economic analysis. Revista Brasileira de Economia , 48 (4), p. 463-77, 1994.), however, showed that slaves responded to a series of positive incentives that owners used to increase productivity and prevent runaways in frontier regions. Nogueról et al (2007) also presents evidence that slaves used horses in the open fields of Rio Grande do Sul on a regular basis, and some were even horse tamers. One of the negative incentives for runaways was Uruguay's responsibility, underthe 1851 treaty, to return any black individual suspect of being a runaway slave. In addition, a large part of the Uruguayan border was controlled by Brazilian ranchers (Souza, 2002SOUZA, Susana Bleil de; PRADO, Fabrício Pereira. Brasileiros na Fronteira Uruguaia: Economia e Política no Século XIX. In: GUAZELLI; NEUMANN; KUHN;GRIJÓ (Org.).História do Rio Grande do Sul: Texto e Pesquisa. Porto Alegre: Editora da UFRGS, 2002., p.13).

Despite the focus on the limitations inherent in using slave labor, the literature on Brazilian slavery did not deny the possibility for specialization. Using reports of contemporaries who visited the charqueadas in the nineteenth century, it becomes possible to understand the local division of labor (Cardoso, 2003CARDOSO, Fernando Henrique. Capitalismo e Escravidão no Brasil Meridional. Rio de Janeiro: Civilização Brasileira, 2003., p.178). Marcondes (2009MARCONDES, Renato Leite. Diverso e Desigual: O Brasil Escravista na Década de 1870. Ribeirão Preto, SP: FUNPEC Editora, 2009.) showed that between 1873 and 1875 slaves were used in several occupations - with an ample division of labor - in the cities that were involved in cattle ranching in Rio Grande do Sul.9 9 The cities were Dom Pedrito, Encruzilhada and Rio Pardo. The new database used in this paper also provides evidence that, between 1850 and 1884, there was significant labor specialization at the charqueadas. From the 637 male and healthy slaves' sample, half of them (319) had declared an occupation. Also, data from the 1865 inventory of businessman José Inácio da Cunha shows that his 115 slaves had seventeen different occupations at his charqueada.10 10 Inventory nº 600, maço 39. APERS. The activities are: Campeiro, graxeiro, pedreiro, servente, balieiro, carneador, lavadeiro, tripeiro, carroceiro, sebeiro, tanoeiro, salgador, marinheiro, descarneador, cozinheiro, carpinteiro e roceiro. Women were also divided according to occupations; they worked as cooks, farmhands, laundresses, and seamstresses, among other jobs.

Division of labor also occurred within the production line itself; some slaves killed the herds, others cleaned the animals, and others salted the meat. These point to a division of labor that was similar to the free labor system. Nogueról et al (2002NOGUERÓL, Luiz Paulo. Mercado Regional de Escravos: padrões de preços em Porto Alegre e Sabará, no século XIX - elementos de nossa formação econômica e social. Ensaios FEE, Porto Alegre, v. 23, Número Especial, p. 539-564, 2002.; 2007) noticed that, after 1850, slaves with declared occupations at post-mortem inventories had selling prices 15 per cent higher on average. There was a perception by slave owners of productivity differentials among captives. Brazilian historiography also provides ample evidence that slave labor specialization included even complex tasks, which demanded special training (Schwartz, 1988SCHWARTZ, Stuart B. Segredos Internos - Engenhos e escravos na sociedade colonial, 1550-1835. São Paulo: Companhia das Letras, 1988.; Luna, Klein, 2010LUNA, Francisco Vidal; KLEIN, Herbert. Escravismo no Brasil. São Paulo: Edusp, 2010.).

Another recent hypothesis concerning the Brazilian beef jerky industry's decline comes from Monasterio (2005MONASTERIO, L. M. FHC errou? A economia da escravidão no Brasil meridional. História e Economia. v. 1, n. 1 - 2º semestre, 2005.). He raises the possibility of a "Dutch disease" phenomenon, where a boom in the export sector affects other sectors subject to international competition. In the charqueadas' case, the expansion of coffee production drove demand for non-tradable products, which increased their prices. Along these lines, the reduction in the competitiveness of Brazilian beef jerky would have occurred through the appreciation of the real exchange rate. Figure 4, which presents a real exchange rate series for Brazil, provides evidence that there was a currency appreciation after 1850, when coffee exports began to grow at a faster rate.

Figure 4:
Real exchange rate (index)

Comparing the literature for Brazil and Uruguay, it is interesting to note that the beef jerky industry's decline after 1870 occurred in both countries, as Finch (2005FINCH, Henry. La economía política del Uruguay contemporáneo,1870-2000. Montevideo: Ediciones de la Banda Oriental, 2005.) and Millot and Bertino (1996MILLOT, Julio; BERTINO, Magdalena. Historia Economica Del Uruguay. Tomo II, Fundacion de Cultura Universitaria, 1996.) argued for Uruguay. Uruguayan historiography even raises the possibility of a "resource curse" due to its inability to compete in the meat market with countries with similar characteristics, such as New Zealand.11 11 According to Barrán and Nahum the British colonists were forced to respond to the challenge presented by the rugged and wooded territory of New Zealand. From the start, in the first half of the nineteenth century, they sowed pastureland. Uruguay, as has already been stated, had the diabolical blessing of ease. Its natural pastures did not necessitate the invention of the soil; it was already there (1984, p.670). Such concern existed despite the fact that New Zealand surpassed Uruguay's cattle raising only in the twentieth century. According to authors who support this hypothesis, the good pastures from the Pampas promoted inertia. With less risk, investments made in Uruguayan cattle received smaller profits, but they kept the industry operating (Barrán; Nahum,1984BARRÁN, José Pedro; NAHUM, Benjamín. Uruguayan Rural History. The Hispanic American Historical Review, 64 (4), pp. 655-673, 1984., p.670).Recent research confirms that land productivity was higher in Uruguay than in New Zealand in the nineteenth century (Alvarez, 2014ÁLVAREZ, Jorge. Instituciones, cambio tecnológico y productividad em los sistemas agrarios de Nueva Zelanda y Uruguay. Patrones y trayectorias de largo plazo (1870-2010). Thesis for doctorate in economic history. Faculty of Social Sciences, University of the Republic, Uruguay, 2014.; 2015ÁLVAREZ, Jorge. Technological change and productivity growth in the agrarian systems of New Zealand and Uruguay (1870-2010). Workshop on Comparative studies of the Southern Hemisphere in global economic history and development. Research Institute for Development, Growth and Economics (RIDGE), Montevideo 27-29 March, 2015.).

Differences in land productivity can be an important factor to explain why Rio Grande do Sul was unable to change its production to meet the growing demand of non-dried meat from abroad during the first globalization. Recent research emphasizes that the south-west region of Uruguay was more suitable for livestock production than the region that borders Brazil (Bertino et al, 2005BERTINO, M; BERTONI, R.; TAJAM, H. Historia Económica Del Uruguay. Tomo III: La economia del batllismo y de los años veinte. Montevideo: Ed. Fin de Siglo, 2005. ; Moraes, 2008MORAES, Maria I. La pradera perdida. Historia y economia del agro uruguayo: una visión de largo plazo, 1760-1970. Montevideo: Linardi&Risso, 2008.). This could partially explain why British capital did not invest in Rio Grande do Sul, providing the resources needed to modernize the industry.12 12 I thank the anonymous referee that pointed out this factor. This hypothesis, however, is beyond the scope of this work because the necessary micro-data to estimate productivity differences is not available.

Therefore, on the next section, we provide quantitative analysis on the two hypothesis raised by previous literature for the industry of Rio Grande do Sul. Analyzing the impact of the exchange rate and labor costs on prices and quantities exported can contribute to the debate by changing the variables of interest for future research. The quantities exported, shown in Figure 1, present evidence that exports did not decline, but instead stagnated after 1870 following an early period of high protection. The industry's decline at the beginning of the twentieth century can only be understood in the context of the abolition of slavery, which eliminated the main consumers of beef jerky. After the abolition, only a fraction of the poorest members of the population continued to consume salted, dried meat.

5. Labor markets or Dutch disease?

In this section we test the different hypotheses that were previously presented, in order to determine the causes of the beef jerky industry's decline. The sample begins in 1837, right before the beginning of the Farroupilha Civil War, and it goes until the de facto1884 abolition of slavery in Rio Grande do Sul. The variables used are: quantities (in tons) and prices (in mil-réis) of beef jerky exported (FEE, 2004FEE. As Relações de Comércio do Rio Grande do Sul - do século XIX a 1930. Porto Alegre, Outubro, 2004.), slave prices, real exchange rate and salt prices (IPEA).The inclusion of salt prices is significant due to the debate, at the beginning of the 1850s, surrounding the possibility that taxes on salt would make local production uncompetitive.

For the labor market hypothesis, we built a series of slave prices for the three main cities associated with beef jerky production: Pelotas, with 1,463 observations, Rio Grande, with 751, and Porto Alegre, with 1,289. These observations refer to slaves registers from postmortem inventories between 1830 and 1884. From this data, we selected only healthy males, between 20 and 29 years old, who represented the most valued and productive labor for the industry and account for the highest slave prices.13 13 This data is from the Public Archive of Rio Grande do Sul. We adjusted these prices using the Feinstein (1995FEINSTEIN, Charles. Changes in Nominal Wages, the Cost of Living, and Real Wages in the United Kingdom over Two Centuries, 1780-1990. In: SCHOLLIERS, P.; ZAMAGNI, V. (Eds.). Labour's Reward. Aldershot, Hants: Edward Elgar. p. 3-36, 258-266, 1995.) consumer price index in silver prices. The usual Brazilian price index for the period analyzed is Lobo (1971LOBO, Eulalia. Evolução dos preços e do padrão de vida no Rio de Janeiro, 1820-1930 - resultados preliminares. Revista Brasileira de Economia. 25(4), pp. 235-265, 1971.), which is based on a limited basket of consumer goods in Rio de Janeiro. Since slaves represented a significant investment during the period under analysis, using Lobo's price index would distort the series due to higher fluctuation from non-durable consumer goods. Lobo's index, with the 1919 weighting, was used to deflate the price of beef jerky and salt. Concerning the Dutch disease hypothesis, a real exchange rate series, presented in Figure 3,was built using data from the nominal exchange rate by Moura Filho (2006MOURA FILHO, Heitor Pinto. Exchange rates of the mil-reis (1795-1913). MPRA Paper No. 5210. Disponível em http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/5210/, 2006.
http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/5210/...
), together with the price level for England from Twigger (1999TWIGGER, Robert. Inflation: the Value of the Pound 1750-1998. Research Paper 99/20. Economic Policy and Statistics Section, House of Commons Library, 1999. ), and the domestic price level of Lobo (1971), which contains beef jerky prices.

Two other series were tested in the empirical analysis, but they were discarded. The first one is Bértola's (1998BÉRTOLA, Luis. El PBI Uruguayo 1870-1936 y otras estimaciones. FCS-CSIC, Montevideo, 1998.) estimations of the cattle industry in Uruguay. The problem is that this data set begins in 1870, at the latter half of the present analysis. The other difficulty is that the estimations do not relate solely to beef jerky production, due to the fact that Uruguay diversified its exports, moving away from beef jerky after 1870. The other series tested measures Brazilian coffee exports, since this industry housed the labor force that served as the main consumers for beef jerky. The reason why this variable was excluded is that it is highly correlated with the real exchange rate. Also, since annual data is used, the limited number of observations requires certain restrictions in the number of parameters that can be estimated. Other information that should be noted comes from Figure 5. As previously stated, both beef jerky and salt prices were deflated using Lobo's price index, however, as the real exchange rate graph shows, the price index probably distorts the real prices before 1855.

Figure 5:
Beef jerky and salt prices (mil-réis)

In order to analyze the relationship between variables, it was first necessary to verify if the series are stationary. The appendix presents the results for the unit root tests, which show that all variables, except salt prices, are integrated of order 1. Since this study's intention is to analyze long-term processes and not their rates of change, a Vector Error Correction model (VECM) is used to accommodate the nonstationary features of the data. To test for the existence of a long-run equilibrium relation between the variables, the Appendix presents a cointegration analysis using the Johansen procedure. Given that the series has strong fluctuations in some specific periods, all variables were transformed to their logarithmic form to minimize heteroskedasticity issues (Banerjee et al, 2003BANERJEE, Anindya; DOLADO, Juan; GALBRAITH, John; HENDRY, David. Co-Integration, Error-Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data. New York: Oxford University Press, 2003.).

Using the Johansen procedure, both Maximum Eigenvalue and Trace statistics indicate the existence of one cointegration vector for the logarithm of Beef Jerky Exports (LQ), Prices (LP), Slave Prices (LS) and real exchange rate (LRER). Since Salt Prices (LSA) is stationary, this variable is incorporated as exogenous in the VECM. In addition, two exogenous year dummies were used. One dummy appears in 1883 (d1883), and is related to the plunge in prices in anticipation of the end of slavery in Rio Grande do Sul. The other appears for the year 1842 (d1842), for the real exchange rate series. Also, to comply with the assumptions of the model, the appendix presents statistics for the LM autocorrelation test and normality tests for the VECM residuals. Table 3 presents the results for the cointegration vectors and their adjustment coefficients.

Table 3:
Vector error correction estimates

Since the VECM relates to simultaneous representations of a system, its individual coefficients do not have a clear interpretation. Our primary interest rests on the error correction terms, which show if variables adjust in the short run to deviations from equilibrium. Based on the results from Table 3, the only variable that does not adjust is Slave Prices. The error correction term equal to zero means that this variable is weakly exogenous (Burke, Hunter, 2005BURKE, Simon; HUNTER, John. Modelling Non-Stationary Time Series. A Multivariate Approach. Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan, 2005.). Also, the long-run parameter of the real exchange rate is not different from zero, meaning that this variable is exogenous in the long term.

In the results, the error correction parameters must be consistent with the proposed model. From the three variables that have an error correction term, the Real Exchange Rate does not correct short term deviations.14 14 Also, since we failed to reject that the long term coefficient is different from zero at 95 percent, it can be stated that the RER is long-run exogenous. The low coefficient (-0.07) shows that this variable acts in a very weak manner against adjustment. As expected, quantities and prices are responsible for the adjustment to deviations from equilibrium. In order to better understand the relations between the variables, Table 4 shows the results from variance decomposition analysis for five periods. From the result, there is no evidence that changes in slave prices had a significant impact on the quantities and prices of beef jerky exports. For the real exchange rate, there is some small impact on the quantities exported.

Table 4:
Variance decomposition of quantity and prices of beef jerky exported

As the interest relies on the impact of shocks in the real exchange rate and slave prices in beef jerky production, in order to complement the previous table, Figure 6 presents results of an Impulse Response Analysis for ten periods. Since slave prices do not have any impact (less than 0.3 percent) on quantity exported and price, we only present the graph for the real exchange rate in Figure 6.

Figure 6:
Impulse response analysis of LQ to LRER

The quantitative analysis presented in this section provides no evidence that the rise in slave prices had a negative impact on beef jerky production. There was some impact from the exchange rate on the quantity of exports, but its effect is small and cannot be considered as an important factor for production stagnation in Rio Grande do Sul.

6. Conclusion

Beef jerky's production decline was not restricted to Brazil; rather, it was a global phenomenon. The end of slavery in several countries across the Americas during the second half of the nineteenth century, as well as an increase in wages in Europe's consumer markets, led to the demand for better quality products. Tariff protection and political instabilities in Uruguay benefited Rio Grande do Sul beef jerky production until the end of the 1860s, when demand for higher-quality meat forced the industry's market share to decrease. We provide evidence that differences in labor regimes did not account for the different trajectories in livestock industries between Rio Grande do Sul and Uruguay. We also found that, despite some impact from the real exchange rate on prices, the effect was too small to account for the sector's decline. With the new series on Rio de Janeiro market prices, we are able to conclude that both products had similar prices, and different market shares were related to product quality and higher productivity in Uruguay.

Further, since wage labor was more expensive, Uruguay had incentives to use more capital-intensive production because its labor costs were higher than in Brazil's. Therefore, the growth of Uruguay's cattle industry arose out of the diversification of its exports, especially canned and refrigerated meat. Foreign investment from British companies, which made the Uruguayan transition possible, was absent across the border. This indicates that the increase in beef jerky productivity in Uruguay was probably an indirect effect of higher demand in non-salted meat. As was the case in the United States, higher demand in non-salted preserved meat led to an increase in cattle stock, with the inferior parts of the cattle used to produce beef jerky.

In other words, international demand, represented by European markets, had changed; and Uruguay managed to transform and diversify its industry to meet consumers' needs. Even though it could not compete with the United States' meatpacking industry, the Rio da Prata region made substantial improvements in the last quarter of the nineteenth century. At the same time, the Rio Grande do Sul industry stagnated; beef jerky remained crucial to the province, but was no longer in high demand in other regions.

The evidence provided in this paper only partially explains why Rio Grande do Sul was unable to make a structural change in meat production the way Uruguay did. Nevertheless, the evidence presented contributes to the literature by using new quantitative data to test previous hypotheses. Additional research is necessary to analyze the impact of potential differences in land productivity between the regions.

Acknowledgment

I am indebted to Luiz Paulo Nogueról who allowed me to use the data on slave prices. I'm also thankful for the helpful comments from Alfonso Herranz, Fabio Pesavento, Gaston Dias, Guilherme de Oliveira,Henry Willebald, Ildo Lautharte, Leonardo Monasterio, Maria Inês Moraes, Pedro Fonseca, Renato Colistete, Sabrina Siniscalchi, Sebastian Fleitas, Sérgio Monteiro, and Thomas Kang.

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  • 1
    From the same Report, each animal resulted in 4 arrobas of beef jerky.
  • 2
    Data from Table 1 are the values declared by the tree most important custom houses, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande and São José do Norte, and do not represent all of the province's production.
  • 3
    Nevertheless, meat extract still did not have the same appeal as fresh meat: "[...] except for the war years, when a large demand for this kind of meat (canned and tasajo) for the armies existed, the exports have been small. The canning plants must give way, as the cattle industry improves, to the modern packing plants which turn out the higher grades of meat" (Jones, 1927JONES, Clarence F. The Trade of Uruguay. Economic Geography. 3 (3), p..361-381, 1927., p.366).
  • 4
    According to Moraes (2008MORAES, Maria I. La pradera perdida. Historia y economia del agro uruguayo: una visión de largo plazo, 1760-1970. Montevideo: Linardi&Risso, 2008., p.76), in the Minas department, Brazilians were the largest foreign-born owners of cattle raising estancias.
  • 5
    According to Hutchinson (1868)HUTCHINSON, Thomas J. The Paraná; with Incidents of the Paraguayan War, and South American Recollections, from 1861 to 1868. London: Edward Stanford. Acervo da Brasiliana Digital USP, 1868., "Only in Brazil and Cuba, where it is bought on account of its cheapness to feed the slaves, has this charqui ever been a marketable article."
  • 6
    Recent estimates confirm the high growth in the livestock industry during the period related to the first globalization era (1870-1913) (Moraes, 2008MORAES, Maria I. La pradera perdida. Historia y economia del agro uruguayo: una visión de largo plazo, 1760-1970. Montevideo: Linardi&Risso, 2008., p.101).
  • 7
    Many contemporary Brazilian authors and politicians quoted European authors like Adam Smith on the benefits of free labor: "The experience of all ages and nations, I believe, demonstrates that the work done by slaves, though it appears to cost only their maintenance, is in the end the dearest of any. A person who can acquire no property, can have no other interest but to eat as much, and to labour as little as possible" (Smith, [1776] 2007SMITH, Adam. An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. Hampshire: Harriman House LTD, 2007., p.252).
  • 8
    Quadro Estatístico e Geográfico da Província de S. Pedro do Rio Grande do Sul, p.81, 1868Quadro Estatístico e Geográfico da Província de S. Pedro do Rio Grande do Sul, 1868. Available at the archive of Fundação de Economia e Estatística do Rio Grande do Sul. .
  • 9
    The cities were Dom Pedrito, Encruzilhada and Rio Pardo.
  • 10
    Inventory nº 600, maço 39. APERS. The activities are: Campeiro, graxeiro, pedreiro, servente, balieiro, carneador, lavadeiro, tripeiro, carroceiro, sebeiro, tanoeiro, salgador, marinheiro, descarneador, cozinheiro, carpinteiro e roceiro.
  • 11
    According to Barrán and Nahum the British colonists were forced to respond to the challenge presented by the rugged and wooded territory of New Zealand. From the start, in the first half of the nineteenth century, they sowed pastureland. Uruguay, as has already been stated, had the diabolical blessing of ease. Its natural pastures did not necessitate the invention of the soil; it was already there (1984, p.670).
  • 12
    I thank the anonymous referee that pointed out this factor.
  • 13
    This data is from the Public Archive of Rio Grande do SulInventories from the Rio Grande do Sul Public Archive..
  • 14
    Also, since we failed to reject that the long term coefficient is different from zero at 95 percent, it can be stated that the RER is long-run exogenous.

Appendix A:

A.1 Heteroscedasticity analysis

Figure A1:
Heteroscedasticy analysis

Since the series presents evidence of heteroskedasticity, we use the logarithm transformation.

A.2 Unit root tests

A.2.1 ADF - Dickey and Fuller

According to Dickey and Fuller (1981) for a sample size of 50 and probability of 0.95, the critical values for the constant and trend are, respectively, 3.14 and 2.81. Using information criteria (AIC, SIC and HQ) to select the number of lags, Table A1 presents the statistics for the model with constant and trend, while the third column is for the model with only a constant. From these results, the model with constant and trend is not appropriate for the variables LQ, LS and LSa, while the model with a constant is not appropriate for the variable LS.

Table A1:
Statistics for trend and constant models

Using these different specifications, the following table presents the ADF unit root statistics for the five variables. Since the null hypothesis is for the existence of a unit root, we find evidence for a unit root in LRER and LS. The variable LP rejects the null at five percent but not at one percent. The variables LQ and LSA do not present evidence of unit roots.

Table A2:
ADF unit root test

A.2.2 DF-GLS - Elliott, Rothenberg and Stock

Since the inclusion of deterministic terms may result in lower power for the ADF statistical test, we use the DF-GLSunit root test. We use this test with the variables LQ, LP, LRER and LSA, which have deterministic trends. The number of lags were selected based on the SIC criteria. Based on the test results, we find evidence for unit roots on the variables LQ, LP and LRER. The variable LSA is stationary.

Table A3:
DF-GLS unit root test

A.2.3 KPSS - Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt and Shin

As a way to verify the previous results, we also used the KPSS unit root test. The null hypothesis of this test is that the variable is stationary. To select the model specification, we used graphical analysis of the variables, presented in Table A11. For lag selection, we used the Newey-West information criteria with Barlett Kernell as the spectral estimation method. The statistic also provides evidence that all variables, except LSA, have a unit root.

Table A4:
KPSS unit root test

Figure A2:
Variables trends (log)

A.3 Lag criteria for the vector error correction model

With four variables I(1), the following table shows that one lag is an adequate selection for the model.

Table A5:
VAR lag order selection criteria

A.3.1 Johansen procedure

Based on the previous graphical analysis of the nonstationary variables, we assumed a model with a constant inside the cointegration vector and another on the VAR. Both the trace and maximum eingenvalue statistics indicate the existence of a cointegration vector.

Table A6:
Johansen cointegration vector test
A.4 Residual test

For the residual vector to conform to the assumptions of the model, the residuals cannot be auto correlated and should have a normal distribution. To test for autocorrelation, we used the LM test. For the normality hypothesis, we used the Cholesky test. The LRER and LS did not have normal residuals due to two outliers. Therefore, we used one dummy for the LRER variable for the year 1842 and another for the LS variable for the year 1883. The null hypothesis for the LM test is no serial correlation at lag order h.

Table A7:
VEC residual serial correlation LM test
Table A8:
VEC residual normality test
A.5 Exogeneity tests

Since the cointegration coefficient of the variable LS is not different from zero, it can be stated that this variable is weakly exogenous. To reinforce this result, the LR test is carried out to the relationship between exogeneity and cointegration.

Table A9:
LR test

The test statistic does not allow the hypothesis that the LS variable is weakly exogenous to be rejected. This implies, besides the existence of weak exogeneity, that the variable has temporal precedence (Granger causality). As the results of the following table show, LS is not strongly exogenous.

Table A10:
Granger causality test

Appendix B: Data

Table A11:
VECM data

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    Jan-Apr 2016

History

  • Received
    24 Aug 2015
  • Accepted
    18 Jan 2016
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