Temporal analysis of the incidence of HIV/AIDS in older people from 2007 to 2020

Abstract

Objective

To analyze the temporal trend of the incidence rate of new HIV/AIDS cases in the old-aged, from 2007 to 2020, in the state of Bahia, in the Northeast Region and in Brazil.

Methods

Ecological time series study, using secondary data from 2007 to 2020 in an elderly population. Calculations of the HIV/AIDS incidence rate and frequency distribution of sociodemographic characteristics and exposure categories were performed. Simple linear regression models were estimated for trend analysis and calculated by the annual percentage change (APC).

Results

In Brazil, during the study period, there was stability in the trend of the HIV/AIDS incidence rate for the general population and for both sexes. In the Northeast there was an increase for the general (APC=6.4%), for males (APC=6.9%) and females (APC=6.5%). In Bahia, there was an increase for the general (APC=7.4%) and male sex (APC=7.4%), and stability for females. Higher proportions of new cases in the elderly were observed in males, whites (Brazil), blacks (Northeast and Bahia), low education and heterosexual exposure category.

Conclusion

Attention should be paid to the increase in cases in individuals in the third age seeking to demystify taboos about the sexuality of the elderly in order to promote the adoption of health promotion measures, aiming at reducing the transmission of the virus.

Keywords
Health Profile; HIV; Health of the Elderly; Epidemiologic Studies