TEACHER ATTRITION IN THE MUNICIPAL EDUCATION SYSTEM OF RIO DE JANEIRO

CARRASQUEIRA, KARINA; KOSLINSKI, MARIANE

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ARTICLE • Educ. rev. 37 • 2021 • https://doi.org/10.1590/0102-469820527 copy

TEACHER ATTRITION IN THE MUNICIPAL EDUCATION SYSTEM OF RIO DE JANEIRO¹ 1 This work was carried out with the support of the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel) - Brazil (CAPES) - Funding Code 001.

Authorship SCIMAGO INSTITUTIONS RANKINGS

ABSTRACT:

Teacher retention is a challenge faced by several education systems worldwide, and has impacts for school systems, schools, and students. This article aimed to investigate the factors associated with teacher attrition in the municipal system of Rio de Janeiro. It used databases from the Municipal Secretariat of Rio de Janeiro (SME-RJ) and the National Institute of Educational Studies and Research Anísio Teixeira (INEP) that allowed to follow, between 2012 and 2016, the trajectory of 3594 teachers who took office between 2009 and 2011. The analyses used logistic regression models to estimate the probability of the teacher leaving the system. The results indicate that younger and more highly educated teachers are more likely to leave the system. In addition, the profile of the student body, the experience of changing schools, and the pressures of a school accountability policy, which was in force during the period when the research was carried out, were also factors associated with the probability of the teacher leaving the system

Keywords:
teacher attrition; teacher trajectory; teacher career; basic education; logistic regression

Dependent Variable
Left the network		Frequency	% Total	% Valid
1	Yes	507	14	14
0	No	3087	86	86
	Valid Total	3594	100	100
	No response	0	0	0
	Total	3594	100	100
Independent Variables - Teacher Characteristics
Gender		Frequency	% Total	% Valid
1	Male	92	2,6	2,6
0	Female	3498	97,3	97,4
	Valid Total	3590	99,9	100,0
	No response	4	0,1
	Total	3594	100,0
Education		Frequency	% Total	% Valid
1	High School	1130	31,4	31,5%
0	Higher Education and Post-Graduation	2461	68,5	68,5%
	Valid Total	3591	99,9	100,0%
	No response	3	0,1
	Total	3594	100,0
Number of changes
Frequency	Minimum	Maximum	Medium	Standard Deviation
3594	0	15	1,46	1,773
Age
Frequency	Minimum	Maximum	Medium	Standard Deviation
3223	19	91	34,83	9,219
Independent Variables - School Characteristics
Socioeconomic Status Index
Frequency	Minimum	Maximum	Medium	Standard Deviation
3422	-2,77	2,88	-0,09	0,84
School Complexity Index
Frequency	Minimum	Maximum	Medium	Standard Deviation
3464	-1,98	2,91	0,66	0,89
Annual Performance Bonus
Frequency	Minimum	Maximum	Medium	Standard Deviation
3483	0	7	2,26	1,34
IDEB
Frequency	Minimum	Maximum	Medium	Standard Deviation
2776	2,50	8,50	5,5	0,68

Proportion of loss per year in relation to the previous year ⁶ 6 For 2012, the ratio is to the total cohort for the corresponding tenure year.
	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016
2009	5,26%	2,78%	1,79%	3,27%	3,76%
2010	3,05%	2,99%	1,62%	3,54%	3,25%
2011	3,17%	2,84%	2,03%	2,85%	3,74%

Cumulative Loss Ratio ⁷ 7 For 2012 the loss is not cumulative, it is the ratio of the total cohort (teachers active at the beginning of 2012) to how many teachers left this year.
	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016
2009	5,26%	7,89%	9,54%	12,50%	15,79%
2010	3,05%	5,95%	7,47%	10,75%	13,64%
2011	3,17%	5,91%	7,83%	10,45%	13,80%

Teacher's characteristics	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3
Gender: Female	-0,796**	-0,833**	-0,999**
Gender: Female	(0,451)	(0,435)	(0,368)
Education: Higher Education	0,419**	0,456**	0,585**
Education: Higher Education	(1,521)	(1,578)	(1,795)
Age in years	-0,038**	-0,037**	-0,045**
Age in years	(0,962)	(0,964)	(0,956)
How many times have you changed assignments	-0,209**	-0,202**	-0,191**
How many times have you changed assignments	(0,811)	(0,817)	(0,826)
School Characteristics
Socioeconomic Status Index		-0,163*	-0,207**
Socioeconomic Status Index		(0,849)	(0,813)
School Complexity Index		0,086	-0,140
School Complexity Index		(1,089)	(0,870)
Annual Performance Bonus		-0,347**	-0,460**
Annual Performance Bonus		(0,706)	(0,632)
IDEB			-0,104
IDEB			(0,901)
Constant	0,279	0,888**	2,263
Number of valid cases in the analysis	3218	3049	2440
R²	0,051	0,094	0,131

Faculdade de Educação da Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais Avenida Antonio Carlos, 6627., 31270-901 - Belo Horizonte - MG - Brasil, Tel./Fax: (55 31) 3409-5371 - Belo Horizonte - MG - Brazil
E-mail: revista@fae.ufmg.br

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[TFN5] Source: own elaboration.

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TEACHER ATTRITION IN THE MUNICIPAL EDUCATION SYSTEM OF RIO DE JANEIRO1 1 This work was carried out with the support of the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel) - Brazil (CAPES) - Funding Code 001.

ABSTRACT:

TEACHER ATTRITION IN THE MUNICIPAL EDUCATION SYSTEM OF RIO DE JANEIRO¹ 1 This work was carried out with the support of the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel) - Brazil (CAPES) - Funding Code 001.