Abstract
Objective:
This study aimed to analyze the temporal trend of incidence, mortality, coverage of wards and intensive care beds, and rigid social isolation in the Ceará State and correlate them.
Methods:
Ecological study, which outcome variable was the mortality rate. Predictors were incidence, occupation rate of bed wards and intensive care beds, and social isolation rate. It was performed a multiple linear regression considering significant when p<0.05.
Results:
It was observed an increasing trend of incidence and mortality by COVID-19 in the Ceará State (p=0.01). On the other hand, it was seen a decreasing trend in the occupation of wards and intensive care beds (p=0.02). The social isolation rate significantly decreased during the period (p=0.001). In the multiple linear regression, social isolation remained inversely related to mortality by COVID-19 (β=-0.08; p=0,02).
Conclusion:
It was seen the effect of rigid social isolation during the COVID-19 pandemics. The anticipated implementation of it, with other public health actions, showed relevance to guarantee the continuity of its benefits.
Keywords
Coronavirus infections; COVID-19; Social isolation; Intensive care units; Epidemiology